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Is Mark Kelly an out of this world suggestion to win in 2028? – politicalbetting.com
Is Mark Kelly an out of this world suggestion to win in 2028? – politicalbetting.com
Sen. Kelly: DOD policy prohibits discussion of even 'controlled unclassified information' on unsecured devices. Are you both aware of that?DNI Gabbard: I haven't read that policyCIA Director Ratcliffe: I'm not familiar with the DOD policy pic.twitter.com/1AcCrVNmEF
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If so you need a rocket.
Kelly could be a contender for 2028 as could others, AOC first to be a candidate for the Democrats
Governor Pritzker of Illenois is another one to watch.
If I were thinking of a Governor that might emerge as a strong candidate the one I would be watching is Andy Beshear of Kentucky.
For me.
Britain's newspaper of record reminds anti-Trumpers to be careful what they wish for.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/mar/26/uk-inflation-falls-boost-for-rachel-reeves
Trump doesn't really have an agenda, other than himself; Vance clearly does.
All the worst aspects of this administration would probably be turbocharged if anything happened which replaced the President with his VP.
https://penncapital-star.com/briefs/democrats-hold-narrow-lead-in-gop-senate-district-claim-house-majority-in-special-elections/
I think a governor would be a better bet and there are several to choose from.
I expect Buttigieg will run and be a strong candidate but the elephant in the room is will the US vote for a gay candidate? I just don’t see it and Dems should be minded that elections aren’t won in Liberal states .
I expect Kamala Harris to go for California governor rather than another attempt at the Presidency.
Vote for Kelly.
However, I agree that the US stock market is probably wildly overvalued because of a combination of the Fed's serial bubble blowing and a very American misguided obsession with second rate technology just because it's shiny and new.
Per POLITICO, Signal cannot be downloaded onto federal devices.
“Their personal phones are all hackable," a fmr WH official said. "and it’s highly likely that foreign intelligence services are sitting on their phones watching them type the shit out."
https://x.com/lara_korte/status/1904543892864721163
Would it have made a difference if he had been the VP candidate instead of Waltz? Probably not. He maybe dodged a bullet there.
Interesting suggestion for a bet.
He abruptly lost the UK military community afaics when JD Vance came to Europe and publicly pissed on the service and the graves of those 500k, or whatever the number is, of service people who went to Afghanistan or Iraq alongside the USA. It did not help that JD Vance's military service was writing articles.
He's just lost some US veterans with this latest leak debacle, his non-existent integrity, and his efforts to pretend that it is not serious. Some of that is trad USA Reagan-identifying conservatives. He's also going to blow up support from eg veterans and working class as he closes down their entitlements by fiat, demolishes the parts of the civil state they rely on, hoicks medical costs back up and so on.
Then there's his destruction of the democratic system and the rule of law.
The other side is will it cause sullen silence, or voting elsewhere. That's up to both parties. And on how much of USA democracy and the constitutional settlement is still standing.
DoJ won't start a case whilst it is under Trumpski.
If he runs then those odds will tumble.
I've been on Kelly since beginning of March.
Betting at all, though, at this stage requires considerable patience and of course some faith that there might be an election at all.
It's getting hard now to buy a smartphone without AI, even though some allow it to be switched off*.
I am already sick of AI summaries on Google or Amazon that precis reviews etc at the level of a High School senior, saying nothing of interest, merely lowest common denominator pablum that drives mediocrity.
*looking at the lower spec models seems the best bet at present, but I suspect even they will be "upgraded" in time.
The Democrats tried the CV approach with Harris. The problem was that she was a B- performer - not a disaster, but simply not in the Obama/Bill Clinton league.
What they need for next time is the star quality. The very best.
And their system even has a process to address this with conformations, but the Senate are so supine you need to be an actual maniac not to get through. And even then Gabbard managed it.
Follicularly challenged.
A question is: at what point does it count as bent? One of the more likely ways of ensuring a GOP/Gangster victory is a massive level of the sort of intimidation now used against law firms, universities, some of the media so that the entire campaign, from the point of view of less well informed voters, is like a Russian campaign in which only one outcome is possible under that degree of media control.
To take a homely instance, it is obvious that the BBC (of all outfits!) is already tempering its coverage to ensure if possible it isn't kicked out when the media purge gets more serious.
I shall avoid and stick to the 4.07 at Hereford for now.
What I don't know is which of those conditions will apply.
..
Man in 'Captain America' costume forged CIA, Mossad IDs through overseas website
https://m.koreatimes.co.kr/pages/article.asp?newsIdx=395035
A thought on moral matters and government.
In the 70s, 80s and 90s, various moral issues (human embryology for example) came up. The government response was to commission reports from people like Mary Warnock. They, based on these recommendations, create a policy and legislate.
While there was sound and fury, even the opponents of the laws believed that the democratic forms had been obeyed.
Now we have the rights based system, where the courts can create a whole new area of policy. Because the politicians have opted out of legislating.
But it is noticeable that the earlier changes are unquestioned by even the ranters - a tiny number dispute abortion and gay marriage, but they have no traction. Even on the alt-right.
As for the rest, look at our own scandals about secret documents carried in open view or left at bus stops, not to mention that Boris-era screenshot of a remote Cabinet meeting plastered with insecure, personal email addresses.
“They will just hand it to us”
I think it is pretty clear that the leadership of the Democrats is thinking like that (partly). It’s also clear that there’s a wrecking ball coming their way. The grass roots aren’t interested in whose turn it is. They want a winner.
I don't know why your man Farage doesn't snap their editor up.
Excuse me while I vomit.
The US still do.
By legislating into law stuff like the ECHR with its general principles - and there are lots more - you create literally an infinity of possible causes of action. The result is obvious.
If you pick a Corbyn or a Duncan-Smith, you just want to go on losing.
American parties are different and yet the same - between Presidential elections they are much more diffuse as there is less central leadership.
The other thing that united parties and quells divisions is the desire to win - arguments are quickly buried behind the common goal (that doesn't mean they can't and won't re-emerge either in Government or in the wake of another defeat).
I am not sure that counts as a win, long term...
And that's even without any fear of intimidation.
*Which involved a big cut to capital signing, so don't get excited
On the one hand, I suppose it's good we have a system where this gets scored. But it is weird for Labour to be changing policy to hit a £5bn rather than £3.4bn forecast at the drop of a hat. No one knows how much money this will save!
No one else from within the GOP had a chance once Trump decided he was going to run again for 2024 - had he not done so, the resulting primary would have made Gettysburg look like and afternoon picnic.
The question is both how long can he and the Republicans avoid the inevitable fall and how steep will that fall be when it happens? Sometimes election victories are worse for the victors than the vanquished - it's now clear the 1992 and 2019 GE wins were disastrous for the Conservatives here. Arguably, the 2020 win was disastrous for the Democrats - had Trump been re-elected, he and the Republicans would have had the post-Covid inflation on their watch and it's probable the world now would be very different.
That's hindsight for you - as for how this will play out, I've no clue. A prolonged period of Republican domination seems oddly enough the least likely option - more likely is a profound reversal at some point with a Democrat landslide but it may not be 2028.
One subtle point about many good IT systems is that they have no way to create the idiotic work around that management feel entitled to.
“I can’t download the banks derivative positions to your personal laptop. Because there’s no way to do it.”
https://www.troyhunt.com/a-sneaky-phish-just-grabbed-my-mailchimp-mailing-list/
Oops. Stay safe!
This effect will materialise just in time for the Conservative minority government in 2029.
But absolutely agree - if they don't have a good plan here, it will end upncosting money as previous Tories found. You can't just announce success and walk away.
The unit where my three came into the world to close. Couples wanting to start families cannot afford to live here or even close by. A depressing backdrop to the meeting of the governors of the school where I am chair.
The BBC has decided of the three options (Fight, flight or bend the knee) that they'll bend the knee. I doubt it'll save them when the purge comes (the name 'British' will guarantee they'll be purged) but I suspect they're trying.
I don't use the BBC for any American news stories anymore. They mostly don't report the shitstorm happening there, and what little they do is very much 'both sides'ism, when it's very obvious there is no alternative position to take.
https://x.com/wahlrecht_de/status/1904800927988482235
They are also changing aspects of UC including the rates paid to the sick and non-sick to try and rebalance.
Had email signing ever really taken off, then this kind of thing would be a bit harder.