Back early from my whiskey tasting evening, Irish this time, because I have to fetch my lad from uni tomorrow morning. Lads at the pub said, "Why are you off home so early?" Girls at home (watching Paddington, drinking gin) said, "How come you're back so soon?" I know it's for the best, but that only leaves PB for entertainment. Glad you are here, PB :-)
In the darkest of times there is always www1.politicalbetting.com
Personally, I have had a hell of a day with my close family caring duties and am tucking into a glass or three of red and flicking through the thread.
Back early from my whiskey tasting evening, Irish this time, because I have to fetch my lad from uni tomorrow morning. Lads at the pub said, "Why are you off home so early?" Girls at home (watching Paddington, drinking gin) said, "How come you're back so soon?" I know it's for the best, but that only leaves PB for entertainment. Glad you are here, PB :-)
In the darkest of times there is always www1.politicalbetting.com
Personally, I have had a hell of a day with my close family caring duties and am tucking into a glass or three of red and flicking through the thread.
Back early from my whiskey tasting evening, Irish this time, because I have to fetch my lad from uni tomorrow morning. Lads at the pub said, "Why are you off home so early?" Girls at home (watching Paddington, drinking gin) said, "How come you're back so soon?" I know it's for the best, but that only leaves PB for entertainment. Glad you are here, PB :-)
In the darkest of times there is always www1.politicalbetting.com
Personally, I have had a hell of a day with my close family caring duties and am tucking into a glass or three of red and flicking through the thread.
I did win on the Gold Cup though.
That makes three of us. Well Done.
I’ve never had the slightest interest in the geegees or Public School Rugby. Sorry…
As polls go this latest one from EKOS in Canada is astonishing .
LPC 49.5 CPC 31.8
The NDP are only on 8 in that poll which seems too low .
EKOS has been quite a friendly pollster in recent months for the Libs but did have the Conservatives ahead by 25 points in December .
Several new polls are out and do all show a bump in the polls for the LPC . The latest EKOS though seems very wild but alarm bells will be going off in the Poilievre camp .
By the way are we all at the acceptance stage of “USA is turning into a dictatorship” yet or is the jury still out for some?
I think it all depends on whether figures like Sanders can mobilise opposition, peacefully but in huge numbers The mainstream Democratic Party is failing to do that, now, and his opponents don't have a lot of time.
Those in the institutions which could resist are being forced out quickly. Its ruthless.
Indeed.
And I hate to sound like a stuck record about it, but not nearly enough is being made by the media, in the U.S., or here, of the explicit record of figures like Thiel against democracy, and their key rolele in bringing together this administration. You can't fight against what you don't know.
Back early from my whiskey tasting evening, Irish this time, because I have to fetch my lad from uni tomorrow morning. Lads at the pub said, "Why are you off home so early?" Girls at home (watching Paddington, drinking gin) said, "How come you're back so soon?" I know it's for the best, but that only leaves PB for entertainment. Glad you are here, PB :-)
In the darkest of times there is always www1.politicalbetting.com
Personally, I have had a hell of a day with my close family caring duties and am tucking into a glass or three of red and flicking through the thread.
As polls go this latest one from EKOS in Canada is astonishing .
LPC 49.5 CPC 31.8
The NDP are only on 8 in that poll which seems too low .
EKOS has been quite a friendly pollster in recent months for the Libs but did have the Conservatives ahead by 25 points in December .
Several new polls are out and do all show a bump in the polls for the LPC . The latest EKOS though seems very wild but alarm bells will be going off in the Poilievre camp .
Let's take an average of all the polls, not just focus on one.
As polls go this latest one from EKOS in Canada is astonishing .
LPC 49.5 CPC 31.8
The NDP are only on 8 in that poll which seems too low .
EKOS has been quite a friendly pollster in recent months for the Libs but did have the Conservatives ahead by 25 points in December .
Several new polls are out and do all show a bump in the polls for the LPC . The latest EKOS though seems very wild but alarm bells will be going off in the Poilievre camp .
I think that is an outlier.
Main Street also has a Carney bounce but the Liberals only ahead 38% to 36% for the Conservatives
As polls go this latest one from EKOS in Canada is astonishing .
LPC 49.5 CPC 31.8
The NDP are only on 8 in that poll which seems too low .
EKOS has been quite a friendly pollster in recent months for the Libs but did have the Conservatives ahead by 25 points in December .
Several new polls are out and do all show a bump in the polls for the LPC . The latest EKOS though seems very wild but alarm bells will be going off in the Poilievre camp .
Let's take an average of all the polls, not just focus on one.
Ignore that EKOS and include the others and the turnaround in Liberal fortunes is still pretty extraordinary. And Mark Carney just cancelled the carbon tax which was a divisive issue and which Poilievre had as a big part of his campaign .
By the way are we all at the acceptance stage of “USA is turning into a dictatorship” yet or is the jury still out for some?
No, Trump was elected president last year and the Republicans were voted in with a majority in Congress.
You may dislike their policies but they have a mandate for them unless they try and stop future elections
Hօwever, they at the early stages of actions that don't fit with any recent western democracy.
Musk morning indicated that Judicial "reform" was essential
Trump said earlier today that CNN and MSNBC were acting illegally by broadcasting so much criticism of him.
His commerce security indicated yesterday that they were thinking of abolishing social security.
The Repiblicans in Congress are proposing new legislation against the Courts.
It's not looking good, and only Sanders is mobilising a large number of people against this.
A lot depends on whether the GOP keep the filibuster especially pertinent in relation to the SAVE act which should really be called the voter suppression act . Voters had plenty of warning but chose to ignore what was in front of them or didn’t care .
By the way are we all at the acceptance stage of “USA is turning into a dictatorship” yet or is the jury still out for some?
Not really because people are getting what they voted for when they elected Trump, Musk, etc. Carney, on the other hand, is PM without having a seat in parliament.
By the way are we all at the acceptance stage of “USA is turning into a dictatorship” yet or is the jury still out for some?
Not really because people are getting what they voted for when they elected Trump, Musk, etc. Carney, on the other hand, is PM without having a seat in parliament.
And I hope they get it good and hard. It seems only immense suffering might bring some to their senses. I’ve lost count of the amount of people now whining that Trump has screwed them , they thought that the bad things would happen to others and were cheering it on so they can do one now !
By the way are we all at the acceptance stage of “USA is turning into a dictatorship” yet or is the jury still out for some?
No, Trump was elected president last year and the Republicans were voted in with a majority in Congress.
You may dislike their policies but they have a mandate for them unless they try and stop future elections
Hօwever, they at the early stages of actions that don't fit with any recent western democracy.
Musk morning indicated that Judicial "reform" was essential
Trump said earlier today that CNN and MSNBC were acting illegally by broadcasting so much criticism of him.
His commerce security indicated yesterday that they were thinking of abolishing social security.
The Repiblicans in Congress are proposing new legislation against the Courts.
It's not looking good, and only Sanders is mobilising a large number of people against this.
A lot depends on whether the GOP keep the filibuster especially pertinent in relation to the SAVE act which should really be called the voter suppression act . Voters had plenty of warning but chose to ignore what was in front of them or didn’t care .
Trump voters wanted tariffs on imports, deportation of immigrants, spending funds at home not on foreign wars. They got what they voted for. Democrats who opposed those policies and Trump will have to hope the economy takes a hit and prices rise before the next elections
As polls go this latest one from EKOS in Canada is astonishing .
LPC 49.5 CPC 31.8
The NDP are only on 8 in that poll which seems too low .
EKOS has been quite a friendly pollster in recent months for the Libs but did have the Conservatives ahead by 25 points in December .
Several new polls are out and do all show a bump in the polls for the LPC . The latest EKOS though seems very wild but alarm bells will be going off in the Poilievre camp .
Let's take an average of all the polls, not just focus on one.
Ignore that EKOS and include the others and the turnaround in Liberal fortunes is still pretty extraordinary. And Mark Carney just cancelled the carbon tax which was a divisive issue and which Poilievre had as a big part of his campaign .
Rather like when Major cancelled Thatcher's poll tax
By the way are we all at the acceptance stage of “USA is turning into a dictatorship” yet or is the jury still out for some?
No, Trump was elected president last year and the Republicans were voted in with a majority in Congress.
You may dislike their policies but they have a mandate for them unless they try and stop future elections
Hօwever, they at the early stages of actions that don't fit with any recent western democracy.
Musk morning indicated that Judicial "reform" was essential
Trump said earlier today that CNN and MSNBC were acting illegally by broadcasting so much criticism of him.
His commerce security indicated yesterday that they were thinking of abolishing social security.
The Repiblicans in Congress are proposing new legislation against the Courts.
It's not looking good, and only Sanders is mobilising a large number of people against this.
A lot depends on whether the GOP keep the filibuster especially pertinent in relation to the SAVE act which should really be called the voter suppression act . Voters had plenty of warning but chose to ignore what was in front of them or didn’t care .
Trump voters wanted tariffs on imports, deportation of immigrants, spending funds at home not on foreign wars. They got what they voted for. Democrats who opposed those policies and Trump will have to hope the economy takes a hit and prices rise before the next elections
Not sure tax cuts that favour the richest and gutting of federal agencies are quite what they wanted but I hope the poor who voted Trump and relied on food stamps are happy to now be rummaging in bins to survive !
By the way are we all at the acceptance stage of “USA is turning into a dictatorship” yet or is the jury still out for some?
No, Trump was elected president last year and the Republicans were voted in with a majority in Congress.
You may dislike their policies but they have a mandate for them unless they try and stop future elections
Hօwever, they at the early stages of actions that don't fit with any recent western democracy.
Musk morning indicated that Judicial "reform" was essential
Trump said earlier today that CNN and MSNBC were acting illegally by broadcasting so much criticism of him.
His commerce security indicated yesterday that they were thinking of abolishing social security.
The Repiblicans in Congress are proposing new legislation against the Courts.
It's not looking good, and only Sanders is mobilising a large number of people against this.
A lot depends on whether the GOP keep the filibuster especially pertinent in relation to the SAVE act which should really be called the voter suppression act . Voters had plenty of warning but chose to ignore what was in front of them or didn’t care .
Trump voters wanted tariffs on imports, deportation of immigrants, spending funds at home not on foreign wars. They got what they voted for. Democrats who opposed those policies and Trump will have to hope the economy takes a hit and prices rise before the next elections
Not sure tax cuts that favour the richest and gutting of federal agencies are quite what they wanted but I hope the poor who voted Trump and relied on food stamps are happy to now be rummaging in bins to survive !
The poor voted for Harris, she won voters earning under $30k and the rich voted for Harris, she won voters earning over $100k, it was voters in the middle who elected Trump last year
By the way are we all at the acceptance stage of “USA is turning into a dictatorship” yet or is the jury still out for some?
No, Trump was elected president last year and the Republicans were voted in with a majority in Congress.
You may dislike their policies but they have a mandate for them unless they try and stop future elections
Hօwever, they at the early stages of actions that don't fit with any recent western democracy.
Musk morning indicated that Judicial "reform" was essential
Trump said earlier today that CNN and MSNBC were acting illegally by broadcasting so much criticism of him.
His commerce security indicated yesterday that they were thinking of abolishing social security.
The Repiblicans in Congress are proposing new legislation against the Courts.
It's not looking good, and only Sanders is mobilising a large number of people against this.
A lot depends on whether the GOP keep the filibuster especially pertinent in relation to the SAVE act which should really be called the voter suppression act . Voters had plenty of warning but chose to ignore what was in front of them or didn’t care .
Trump voters wanted tariffs on imports, deportation of immigrants, spending funds at home not on foreign wars. They got what they voted for. Democrats who opposed those policies and Trump will have to hope the economy takes a hit and prices rise before the next elections
talking of trains, I know people bemoan the state of our public transport but when my american friends were over last year they were bemused because I didnt have a car and I said dont worry buses and trains take you most places....despite living in a fairly rural area they loved the freedom it gave them they could go pretty much anywhere they wanted by one or the other
This is a potential problem for Trump as he ascends to autocrat status. How does one make the trains run on time when there are no trains? Trump made the cars run on time doesn’t have the same ring to it. And 19th century chugging Amtraks with cow catchers don’t count.
From what my american friends said (based in louisana so not a nationwide survey) buses for them nil, never been on a train.....lucky if most roads have a pavement to walk on outside the town centre
I remember staying in Atlanta and I said to the hotel reception I’m going to walk into town, do you have a map, and they said “you can’t do that sir”.
And the opposite when you have American friends over and you suggest walking to the pub. 2 miles? Over a hill?!
My american friends loved walking the most over here, because as the mother put it we feel safe doing it
As I said the experience in vegas while I ended up safe didnt feel that way at first when confronted but was ok when they knew I wasn't american
Many many (red) moons ago I holed up in a motel in Riverside, LA on my way to see the Joshau trees.
I had no idea that it was not, shall we say, the most calm, peaceful and law-abiding postcode in America.
I was woken by what sounded like gun fire during the night, later I saw two cars just set alight on the edge of the freeway and everyone and I mean everyone looked edgy.
The desert the next day was beautiful.
A friend and I travelled America by Amtrak when we were at uni. Despite slumming it in coach class some of my best nights were on the train crossing the country with the distant blart of the horn from the engines as we crossed side roads.
Haven’t been back since. Now thinking about a trans-Canada trip in a few years, though it’s inevitable that I’ll go and see an Indycar race in the next few years. Preferably NASCAR too…
My clue of feeling unsafe was 5 fairly large gentleman blocking my way and all seemed to feel having their guns tucked into their waistbands aiming at their gonads was a good reproductive strategy
By the way are we all at the acceptance stage of “USA is turning into a dictatorship” yet or is the jury still out for some?
No, Trump was elected president last year and the Republicans were voted in with a majority in Congress.
You may dislike their policies but they have a mandate for them unless they try and stop future elections
Hօwever, they at the early stages of actions that don't fit with any recent western democracy.
Musk morning indicated that Judicial "reform" was essential
Trump said earlier today that CNN and MSNBC were acting illegally by broadcasting so much criticism of him.
His commerce security indicated yesterday that they were thinking of abolishing social security.
The Repiblicans in Congress are proposing new legislation against the Courts.
It's not looking good, and only Sanders is mobilising a large number of people against this.
A lot depends on whether the GOP keep the filibuster especially pertinent in relation to the SAVE act which should really be called the voter suppression act . Voters had plenty of warning but chose to ignore what was in front of them or didn’t care .
Trump voters wanted tariffs on imports, deportation of immigrants, spending funds at home not on foreign wars. They got what they voted for. Democrats who opposed those policies and Trump will have to hope the economy takes a hit and prices rise before the next elections
talking of trains, I know people bemoan the state of our public transport but when my american friends were over last year they were bemused because I didnt have a car and I said dont worry buses and trains take you most places....despite living in a fairly rural area they loved the freedom it gave them they could go pretty much anywhere they wanted by one or the other
This is a potential problem for Trump as he ascends to autocrat status. How does one make the trains run on time when there are no trains? Trump made the cars run on time doesn’t have the same ring to it. And 19th century chugging Amtraks with cow catchers don’t count.
From what my american friends said (based in louisana so not a nationwide survey) buses for them nil, never been on a train.....lucky if most roads have a pavement to walk on outside the town centre
I remember staying in Atlanta and I said to the hotel reception I’m going to walk into town, do you have a map, and they said “you can’t do that sir”.
And the opposite when you have American friends over and you suggest walking to the pub. 2 miles? Over a hill?!
My american friends loved walking the most over here, because as the mother put it we feel safe doing it
As I said the experience in vegas while I ended up safe didnt feel that way at first when confronted but was ok when they knew I wasn't american
Many many (red) moons ago I holed up in a motel in Riverside, LA on my way to see the Joshau trees.
I had no idea that it was not, shall we say, the most calm, peaceful and law-abiding postcode in America.
I was woken by what sounded like gun fire during the night, later I saw two cars just set alight on the edge of the freeway and everyone and I mean everyone looked edgy.
The desert the next day was beautiful.
A friend and I travelled America by Amtrak when we were at uni. Despite slumming it in coach class some of my best nights were on the train crossing the country with the distant blart of the horn from the engines as we crossed side roads.
Haven’t been back since. Now thinking about a trans-Canada trip in a few years, though it’s inevitable that I’ll go and see an Indycar race in the next few years. Preferably NASCAR too…
Sadly Canadian railways are rather less sibsidised than Amtrak. Actual money is required. On Amtrak you can do New York to LA in a seat for about $250. If you can stand it.
talking of trains, I know people bemoan the state of our public transport but when my american friends were over last year they were bemused because I didnt have a car and I said dont worry buses and trains take you most places....despite living in a fairly rural area they loved the freedom it gave them they could go pretty much anywhere they wanted by one or the other
This is a potential problem for Trump as he ascends to autocrat status. How does one make the trains run on time when there are no trains? Trump made the cars run on time doesn’t have the same ring to it. And 19th century chugging Amtraks with cow catchers don’t count.
From what my american friends said (based in louisana so not a nationwide survey) buses for them nil, never been on a train.....lucky if most roads have a pavement to walk on outside the town centre
I remember staying in Atlanta and I said to the hotel reception I’m going to walk into town, do you have a map, and they said “you can’t do that sir”.
And the opposite when you have American friends over and you suggest walking to the pub. 2 miles? Over a hill?!
My american friends loved walking the most over here, because as the mother put it we feel safe doing it
As I said the experience in vegas while I ended up safe didnt feel that way at first when confronted but was ok when they knew I wasn't american
Many many (red) moons ago I holed up in a motel in Riverside, LA on my way to see the Joshau trees.
I had no idea that it was not, shall we say, the most calm, peaceful and law-abiding postcode in America.
I was woken by what sounded like gun fire during the night, later I saw two cars just set alight on the edge of the freeway and everyone and I mean everyone looked edgy.
The desert the next day was beautiful.
A friend and I travelled America by Amtrak when we were at uni. Despite slumming it in coach class some of my best nights were on the train crossing the country with the distant blart of the horn from the engines as we crossed side roads.
Haven’t been back since. Now thinking about a trans-Canada trip in a few years, though it’s inevitable that I’ll go and see an Indycar race in the next few years. Preferably NASCAR too…
Sadly Canadian railways are rather less sibsidised than Amtrak. Actual money is required. On Amtrak you can do New York to LA in a seat for about $250. If you can stand it.
With the Trans Siberian off the list for the foreseeable, I do rather fancy the Trans-Canadian. No immediate plans though.
By the way are we all at the acceptance stage of “USA is turning into a dictatorship” yet or is the jury still out for some?
No, Trump was elected president last year and the Republicans were voted in with a majority in Congress.
You may dislike their policies but they have a mandate for them unless they try and stop future elections
Hօwever, they at the early stages of actions that don't fit with any recent western democracy.
Musk morning indicated that Judicial "reform" was essential
Trump said earlier today that CNN and MSNBC were acting illegally by broadcasting so much criticism of him.
His commerce security indicated yesterday that they were thinking of abolishing social security.
The Repiblicans in Congress are proposing new legislation against the Courts.
It's not looking good, and only Sanders is mobilising a large number of people against this.
I suppose the question to ask is, should Trump successfully dismantle the checks/balances would the Democrats put back these checks if they came back into power.
Comments
Personally, I have had a hell of a day with my close family caring duties and am tucking into a glass or three of red and flicking through the thread.
I did win on the Gold Cup though.
LPC 49.5
CPC 31.8
The NDP are only on 8 in that poll which seems too low .
EKOS has been quite a friendly pollster in recent months for the Libs but did have the Conservatives ahead by 25 points in December .
Several new polls are out and do all show a bump in the polls for the LPC . The latest EKOS though seems very wild but alarm bells will be going off in the Poilievre camp .
And I hate to sound like a stuck record about it, but not nearly enough is being made by the media, in the U.S., or here, of the explicit record of figures like Thiel against democracy, and their key rolele in bringing together this administration. You can't fight against what you don't know.
You may dislike their policies but they have a mandate for them unless they try and stop future elections
Don't drink. So solace is pb.com.
Night all.
Musk morning indicated that Judicial "reform" was essential
Trump said earlier today that CNN and MSNBC were acting illegally by broadcasting so much criticism of him.
His commerce security indicated yesterday that they were thinking of abolishing social security.
The Repiblicans in Congress are proposing new legislation against the Courts.
It's not looking good, and only Sanders is mobilising a large number of people against this.
Main Street also has a Carney bounce but the Liberals only ahead 38% to 36% for the Conservatives
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2025_Canadian_federal_election
Senior judicial appointments in the US have always been made by the party in power.
Good riddance to literary fiction
It seems silly to have to say it but readers want stories" (£)
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/good-riddance-to-literary-fiction/
Yashar Ali 🐘
@yashar
Attorney General Pam Bondi stops President Trump to show him that his portrait is hanging in the DOJ.
https://x.com/yashar/status/1900638177624203508
https://x.com/markjcarney/status/1900656393180336516
Carney can return to the policy at leisure, over the coming years...
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