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Some Farage bets – politicalbetting.com

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  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,400
    TimS said:

    Nobody’s forcing you to use cream (which is exactly the same stuff as unsalted butter, with a bit more moisture).

    The world changes and so do recipes. Anti-miscegenation rules tend to fail after a while, in food as in life.
    Not true: there are very significant differences in fat concentration.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    edited September 2024
    HYUFD said:

    Currently Harris leads 273 EC votes to 265 for Trump which would be the closest presidential election since 2000
    https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/no-toss-up/electoral-college
    It over @HYUFD - Harris will win by quite some margin

  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,806
    I now suspect Starmer’s government is going to be even more CRINGE than Liz Truss’s or Rishi Sunak’s

    I didn’t think that was possible
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,458
    edited September 2024

    Long week, you can tell I've phoned this one in.

    'Trumps Personal Proctologist' . Hole-in-one ?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,059

    That's because deaths and serious injuries caused by cyclists are extremely rare;

    https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/reported-road-casualties-great-britain-pedal-cyclist-factsheet-2022/reported-road-casualties-in-great-britain-pedal-cycle-factsheet-2022

    It's about a factor of 50-100 difference between bad events due to cars and cycles. Mass and velocity will do that.

    (And yes, if there's a gap in the law, by all means close it. Just be aware that didn't see it as that much of a priority.)
    For those relatives of pedestrians killed or seriously injured by cyclists the gap in the law certainly is a big priority for closure
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,650
    edited September 2024

    A classic case of whataboutism. As it happens I agree that Cyclists should be jailed for killing or seriously injuring someone due to their own negligence. But I am consistent in also believing this should apply to drivers who do the same thing. Your nasty little vendetta against cyclists is no excuse to let car drivers off when they break the law. Thakfully both the police and the courts apparently agree with me in this instance.
    TBH for me this isn't something I worry about especially.

    The previous Government, their failure to hold a promised comprehensive review of road safety for an entire decade, and their lunatic Transport Ministers with their transport policies based on beliefs determined by Parliament to be conspiracy theories, and the hundreds of people who have unfortunately been killed unnecessarily on our roads in the interim are all in the past and are now sunk costs.

    We now have a Government that *is* carrying out a review of road safety, and by the look of it addressing a lot of basic, long-neglected and that needs to be our focus.

    I can take or leave IDS's proposal; it's about bar number 29 or 86 or something on the pareto chart of things needing to be addressed in road safety, anyway, and will have vritually zero practical effect. At root it's an irrelevance, but Knick Knack Paddywack, why not throw IDS a bone.

    What I won't forgive him for are 1 - Standing Up and Parliament and lying his head off about a series of innocent people in pursuit of a political hit, and 2 - Turning this into a self-serving project where he has given cover for people who want to abuse vulnerable users of our roads.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,059
    edited September 2024
    rcs1000 said:

    BTW: can you remind me of your opinions on the cyclist who accidentally killed a pedestrian in Regent's Park.
    They should certainly at least have got a community order or suspended sentence not walked free with no charges
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,059

    It over @HYUFD - Harris will win by quite some margin

    I think she will win but it will be very close if she does
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754
    rcs1000 said:

    Not true: there are very significant differences in fat concentration.
    Sorry but… what sort of animal puts cream in carbonara? Why would you? It’s an egg based dish. What role would it play? Is this what we have come to?! I give up….
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,937
    edited September 2024
    rcs1000 said:

    Not true: there are very significant differences in fat concentration.
    Yeah and it all melts into a sauce at the end of the day. The preciosity about carbonara is so fake.

    (I prefer it dry with butter but I’m not judging anyone who likes a slick of cream. After all Heinz were making it - with cream - before “it” was invented).
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754

    (Jeeves voice: Stephen Fry, obviously)

    One certainly hopes so, Sir. But we should perhaps recollect that our friends across the Atlantic sometimes show surprisingly eccentric judgement in such matters.
    I think and hope Harris will win. I am also sure I thought that at this stage in the 2016 cycle, with the same amount of evidence to confirm my belief.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,650
    edited September 2024
    HYUFD said:

    Good for you but I would suspect more than half of drivers have had at least one traffic offence conviction, fine or parking ticket
    Our former Police and Crime Commissioner had FIVE speeding offences within a very few months when she was campaigning for the position, and immediately after she won it!

    @Big_G_NorthWales is more of a tartar than I am on eye tests for elderly drivers.

    I think this is one where the new Govt may pick up the reforms that were being considered by the previous Govt.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,937
    biggles said:

    Sorry but… what sort of animal puts cream in carbonara? Why would you? It’s an egg based dish. What role would it play? Is this what we have come to?! I give up….
    You obviously missed the discussion a few days ago.

    They got you, they got you good.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,884

    I read the discussion about carbonara sauce the other day with interest

    I believe that one of my first posts on here was the proper recipe

    I don't care that the recipe is only eighty years old; cream is still not an acceptable ingredient

    I agree: no cream. Lots and lots of black pepper on the eggs is good though.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754
    TimS said:

    You obviously missed the discussion a few days ago.

    They got you, they got you good.
    “They” haven’t tasted my carbonara.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,650
    HYUFD said:

    I think she will win but it will be very close if she does
    I don't feel I can call that one closely.

    I am interested in the likely impact on the National Conservative movement here of a Trump loss. Will some people suddenly stop being sympathetic to him - but I don't even have a current list of those who still are.
  • Leon said:

    I now suspect Starmer’s government is going to be even more CRINGE than Liz Truss’s or Rishi Sunak’s

    I didn’t think that was possible

    "Cringe? CRINGE? We used to dream of being Cringe!"

    Four Yorkshiremen coincidentally being about the level of Conservative representation in that fair country.

    (It isn't exactly, it's a joke, but you get the idea.)
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,569
    MattW said:

    Our former Police and Crime Commissioner had FIVE speeding offences within a very few months when she was campaigning for the position, and immediately after she won it!

    @Big_G_NorthWales is more of a tartar than I am on eye tests for elderly drivers.

    I think this is one where the new Govt may pick up the reforms that were being considered by the previous Govt.
    I can understand anyone driving if they ‘think’ they can if, like me, they’re wailing for DVLA. to get their finger out.
  • Thug who got nine years for rioting:

    'I can't be racist because my wife has two black eyes'.

    Lovely fellah.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,059
    edited September 2024
    MattW said:

    Our former Police and Crime Commissioner had FIVE speeding offences within a very few months when she was campaigning for the position, and immediately after she won it!

    @Big_G_NorthWales is more of a tartar than I am on eye tests for elderly drivers.

    I think this is one where the new Govt may pick up the reforms that were being considered by the previous Govt.
    Ted Kennedy killed a woman in 1969 driving while probably drunk and walked away from the scene of the incident and was re elected as Senator for Massachusetts in 1970 with 62% of the vote, so beat even your PCC!
  • biggles said:

    Sorry but… what sort of animal puts cream in carbonara? Why would you? It’s an egg based dish. What role would it play? Is this what we have come to?! I give up….
    Theory, you take the pasta off the stove and add the egg which is cooked by the residual heat. Practice, it's not hot enough and you end up with a snot based dish. Reality, who cares? It's just bacon and egg for people too refined to eat fried bread.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,528
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bF9WxXHmlkc

    Chris Coghlan's maiden speech. I mentioned previously he is one to look out for.

    This was a very nervous performance, but very moving. Worth a listen.
  • On Trump, I have to say I think he's fat from out.

    I met a very charming, educated couple on a Dodecanese island here two weeks ago, who said they were voting Trump to save America.
  • On Trump, I have to say I think he's fat from out.

    I met a very charming, educated couple on a Dodecanese island here two weeks ago, who said they were voting Trump to save America.

    Or even far from out !
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,650

    I can understand anyone driving if they ‘think’ they can if, like me, they’re wailing for DVLA. to get their finger out.
    I did a small media survey a couple of years ago, and it was surprising how many reports in local media there are of drivers only able to read a number plate at 5-10m not 20m there are.

    Ashley Neil also had a harrowing video clip that strengthened my views somewhat.

    A key part of this agenda is to make sure that cost-effective and safe alternatives are available so there is as little pressure as possible which could cause people to deceive the DVLA. I'm on a 3 year medical license, so I understand the pressures.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,650
    biggles said:

    Sorry but… what sort of animal puts cream in carbonara?
    On topic.

    Cats?
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,707
    FF43 said:

    I agree: no cream. Lots and lots of black pepper on the eggs is good though.
    For more spice, for any pasta dish, put a good amount of finely ground pepper (i.e the cheap supermarket stuff) in the water along with the salt.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,650
    This is an interesting story on the effect of increased Council Tax on second homes in Wales.

    (Not as dramatic as the headline, as it's an increase of perhaps from 38 to 135 for sale in an area of ~3000 dwellings. And it looks to me as if some of them may be trying to manipulate conditions to avoid the increase for a year.)

    Second homes for sale treble after council tax hike
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/clyl52jz73vo
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,569
    MattW said:

    I did a small media survey a couple of years ago, and it was surprising how many reports in local media there are of drivers only able to read a number plate at 5-10m not 20m there are.

    Ashley Neil also had a harrowing video clip that strengthened my views somewhat.

    A key part of this agenda is to make sure that cost-effective and safe alternatives are available so there is as little pressure as possible which could cause people to deceive the DVLA. I'm on a 3 year medical license, so I understand the pressures.
    The accepted advice in my peer group when I took the driving test 60+ years ago was walk round the cars outside the test centre before the test and get an idea of the number pl ates.
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,218

    Or even far from out !
    Before anyone else says it...

    You were right first time
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,650

    The accepted advice in my peer group when I took the driving test 60+ years ago was walk round the cars outside the test centre before the test and get an idea of the number pl ates.
    I think mine in the 1980s brought one with him in his bag.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,528
    edited September 2024

    Would you say a car driver or motorcyclist would have been in the wrong in passing a junction at that speed (thanks to MattW we know it was 19 MPH)
    @Richard_Tyndall After I made my post I then saw your post about 'what if it had been a motorcyclist travelling at that speed' and I immediately had second thoughts about what I said because I thought you made a very good point and I now have my doubts.

    You make a very valid point and all I can say to defend that part of my post regarding the speed of the bike is that motorcyclists and cyclists are a lot less visible and should accordingly ride a lot more defensively, and also they are a lot more vulnerable. It is a lot easier to see a car than a bike.

    It doesn't take away from the point that the car driver was at fault, but a bike is much harder to see and he was travelling very fast and was very vulnerable. A car is much bigger and much safer if hit.

    So I do think it makes a difference whether you are riding a bike or driving a car. That doesn't take away the responsibility of the driver to look properly, but one must have sympathy because most of us have made mistakes like this before, but have been lucky enough to get away with it.
  • carnforth said:

    For more spice, for any pasta dish, put a good amount of finely ground pepper (i.e the cheap supermarket stuff) in the water along with the salt.
    I have a Peugeot pepper grinder (I believe the company has diversified into other products) which I inherited from my grandparents who used it daily. It's nice enough that it was probably a wedding present to them in 1923. A century of use has loosened up the mechanism just enough to produce the perfect medium to coarse grind.
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,218
    Mark Wood out for the rest of 2024
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,884
    carnforth said:

    For more spice, for any pasta dish, put a good amount of finely ground pepper (i.e the cheap supermarket stuff) in the water along with the salt.
    Interesting I'll give that a try
  • HYUFD said:

    Currently Harris leads 273 EC votes to 265 for Trump which would be the closest presidential election since 2000
    https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/no-toss-up/electoral-college
    I think it's easy forget, from our safe vantage point on P.B. , how almost as many Americans regard Trump as their best, flawed hope as regard him a danger to the Republic.

    The couple I met were utterly charming, educated engineers, she Greek-American and he from New York Irish, and completely convinced.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,192
    edited September 2024
    ‘Broke’ Tories slashing jobs at HQ as donations dry up, insiders say
    ...
    ... in November 2023, the Conservatives quietly but substantially increased the limit on what parties can spend on campaigning during a general election, from a little over £19m to £35m – not the actions of a party that expects to be out-gunned financially during the contest.
    ...
    The loss of the party’s largest individual donor [after shooting Diane Abbott-gate; if he said it in the post-riot zeitgeist he'd face imprisonment] was compounded by a catastrophic start to the election campaign, in which Sunak became embroiled in a row over leaving the D-Day commemorations early, while several members of his team were alleged to have placed bets using inside information on the date of the election.

    These scandals, combined with the party’s poor showing in the polls, meant donations collapsed. Across the five weeks of the election campaign, Electoral Commission figures show that the Labour Party raised £5 for every £1 the Conservatives managed – totalling £9.5m to the Tories’ £1.9m. By contrast, in 2019 the Conservatives raised £19.4m in donations versus a mere £5.4m for Labour.

    https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/broke-tories-slashing-jobs-hq-3262303 (£££)

    What donors remain are now being tapped up by the various leadership campaigns rather than CCHQ funds.
  • BlancheLivermoreBlancheLivermore Posts: 6,280
    edited September 2024
    TimS said:

    Nobody’s forcing you to use cream (which is exactly the same stuff as unsalted butter, with a bit more moisture).

    The world changes and so do recipes. Anti-miscegenation rules tend to fail after a while, in food as in life.
    Butter is no more an ingredient in carbonara than cream is

    The fat and flavour comes from the guanciale (very fatty cured ham)
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    edited September 2024
    MattW said:

    This is an interesting story on the effect of increased Council Tax on second homes in Wales.

    (Not as dramatic as the headline, as it's an increase of perhaps from 38 to 135 for sale in an area of ~3000 dwellings. And it looks to me as if some of them may be trying to manipulate conditions to avoid the increase for a year.)

    Second homes for sale treble after council tax hike
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/clyl52jz73vo

    I fully support the Welsh government on this and next year should see even more sold

    https://www.conwy.gov.uk/en/Resident/Council-Tax/Council-Tax-Premium-Update.aspx
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 23,425
    edited September 2024

    That's because deaths and serious injuries caused by cyclists are extremely rare;

    https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/reported-road-casualties-great-britain-pedal-cyclist-factsheet-2022/reported-road-casualties-in-great-britain-pedal-cycle-factsheet-2022

    It's about a factor of 50-100 difference between bad events due to cars and cycles. Mass and velocity will do that.

    (And yes, if there's a gap in the law, by all means close it. Just be aware that didn't see it as that much of a priority.)
    There's also a factor of 50-100 difference between mileage travelled by cycles and mileage travelled by cars, so on a per mile basis cars and cycles are roughly as dangerous as each other.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180
    edited September 2024
    FF43 said:

    If I take Edinburgh, which is a reasonably sophisticated city, I would say there are probably two or three actually good Indian restaurants (Dishoom is one I eat at and the only restaurant my Indian colleagues will go to), seven or eight acceptable ones, the rest are poor. There are three or four acceptable but no really good Thai restaurants. The better Chinese restaurants tend to be hole in the wall places exclusively serving Chinese students. If you head out to the suburbs you will struggle to find even acceptable ethnic food. By contrast there are a good two dozen Scottish/French fine dining places of the same standard as Dishoom.

    My benchmark for acceptable is what I cook every day without trying very hard. I'm looking for something more refined when I eat out.
    Mother India is very good and the Tuk Tuk Indian Street food is also extremely tasty and excellent value. Tattu is possibly the best Chinese restaurant I have been to in this country. Simply superb.

    Dishoon is excellent but the refusal to allow bookings is an irritant. I have gone to the door a lot more often than I have gone in.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,707
    Jack Draper in his first Grand Slam Semi-Final starting now. Not the favourite, against top seed Jannik Sinner (Draper was seeded 25th).
  • Bacon, mushroom and cream sauce, with some cheddar, or parmesan if you're lucky, grated in, poured over over-cooked pasta probably has a name

    But it's not carbonara
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,821
    HYUFD said:

    She should certainly have slowed down approaching the junction rather than continue at full pelt as she did
    A car driver wouldn't do so. Why should a cyclist?
  • MattW said:

    This is an interesting story on the effect of increased Council Tax on second homes in Wales.

    (Not as dramatic as the headline, as it's an increase of perhaps from 38 to 135 for sale in an area of ~3000 dwellings. And it looks to me as if some of them may be trying to manipulate conditions to avoid the increase for a year.)

    Second homes for sale treble after council tax hike
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/clyl52jz73vo

    It's a bit post hoc ergo propter hoc. No mention of the bearing likely CGT hikes have on the issue.
  • Bacon, mushroom and cream sauce, with some cheddar, or parmesan if you're lucky, grated in, poured over over-cooked pasta probably has a name

    But it's not carbonara

    Of course its carbonara if that's what you call it.

    Recipes, like languages, evolve.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,528

    There's also a factor of 50-100 difference between mileage travelled by cycles and mileage travelled by cars, so on a per mile basis cars and cycles are roughly as dangerous as each other.
    You can't compare on a per mileage basis when on average one goes a lot further than the other. A per trip is a better comparison. To see how logical that is compare safety of driving to travelling to the moon on an Apollo mission. On a per mileage basis the moon trip is much safer, but nobody in their right mind believes that to be true.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,263
    edited September 2024
    Cookie said:

    A car driver wouldn't do so. Why should a cyclist?
    Because they might die.

    The cyclist is in the right, but that's not much consolation if dead.
  • HYUFD said:

    She should certainly have slowed down approaching the junction rather than continue at full pelt as she did
    Why the hell should anyone slow down approaching a junction if they:

    a) have right of way
    b) are travelling under the speed limit.

    What an asinine thing to suggest.
  • I've been a postie for just under two years

    In that time I've walked just under seventeen million steps

    I wonder how many people have walked more than me
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,059
    Cookie said:

    A car driver wouldn't do so. Why should a cyclist?
    A car driver should do so too
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,263

    I've been a postie for just under two years

    In that time I've walked just under seventeen million steps

    I wonder how many people have walked more than me

    Posties with longer service?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,059
    edited September 2024

    Why the hell should anyone slow down approaching a junction if they:

    a) have right of way
    b) are travelling under the speed limit.

    What an asinine thing to suggest.
    As it is a sign of a careful and cautious driver, especially if a more vulnerable user like a cyclist or motor cyclist and at best she was close to the speed limit if not over it
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,059
    @Liz_Cheney
    : "Dick Cheney will be voting for Kamala Harris,” per @TexasTribune
    https://x.com/AlexThomp/status/1832130500842156339
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,707

    Why the hell should anyone slow down approaching a junction if they:

    a) have right of way
    b) are travelling under the speed limit.

    What an asinine thing to suggest.
    Not in that situation, but sometimes when approaching a nasty crossroads on a country road SLOW signs are put up on the main road. Doesn't make it any less the main road driver's right of way but does reduce accidents.
  • Cookie said:

    A car driver wouldn't do so. Why should a cyclist?
    Self defense. Obligation to herself, not to the driver. This would not have happened to me as the cyclist because I am always aware of the absence of crumple zones and airbags between me and the outside world.

    This is not victim blaming, just a statement of the obvious.
  • Of course its carbonara if that's what you call it.

    Recipes, like languages, evolve.
    Arse to that

    Don't abandon all tradition

    That's tryhard woke
  • kjh said:

    You can't compare on a per mileage basis when on average one goes a lot further than the other. A per trip is a better comparison. To see how logical that is compare safety of driving to travelling to the moon on an Apollo mission. On a per mileage basis the moon trip is much safer, but nobody in their right mind believes that to be true.
    Of course you can compare a per mile basis because that's a like-for-like comparison, comparing longer trips to short ones is not a like-for-like comparison.

    Your Apollo mission comparison is faulty since there is no alternative method to get to the moon, you can't drive there. The valid comparison is with flights and the excellent safety record of planes is made by comparing planes to automobiles and other transport on a per mile basis.
  • Yes, you are first.
    I was thrown by the upside down post order!
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,528

    Why the hell should anyone slow down approaching a junction if they:

    a) have right of way
    b) are travelling under the speed limit.

    What an asinine thing to suggest.
    Because they are on a bike and don't want to die. I cycle and will always take care crossing a junction because I would rather be alive than dead but right.
  • Arse to that

    Don't abandon all tradition

    That's tryhard woke
    There's no such thing as tradition.
  • Foxy said:

    Posties with longer service?
    In the last two years?
  • carnforth said:

    Not in that situation, but sometimes when approaching a nasty crossroads on a country road SLOW signs are put up on the main road. Doesn't make it any less the main road driver's right of way but does reduce accidents.
    Which would be relevant if the cyclist was going past a slow sign when this incident happened?

    Where they? Or where they simply travelling with right of way at less than the speed limit, which is perfectly legitimate?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108
    edited September 2024
    Oktoberfest has arrived in Colorado and after a morning hiking, I am lunching in the square of a mock Alpine village listening to a pretty terrible mock oompah band. This place has an interesting back story - the US 10th Mountain Division trained in these parts, and after a disastrous start to its war record, battling the Canadians in Alaska - a friendly fire incident that killed 200 - went on to fight with bravery and distinction in the Italian Appenines and Alps.

    Returning to the US, many of the veterans were mountain and skiing addicts, and played leading roles in creating the US skiing industry, and two of them dreamed of creating an Alpine ski resort in Colorado. And so in 1962 this place was opened in what had been uninhabited wilderness.

    So allowing their kids and grandkids to enjoy this terrible band





  • There's no such thing as tradition.
    Tryhard woke squared
  • Tryhard woke squared
    I've been against asinine "traditions" since long before I ever heard anyone use the term "woke" as a perjorative.

    Your invented "traditions" are utterly meaningless claptrap, clinging to them is certainly a snooze.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,884
    .
    DavidL said:

    Mother India is very good and the Tuk Tuk Indian Street food is also extremely tasty and excellent value. Tattu is possibly the best Chinese restaurant I have been to in this country. Simply superb.

    Dishoon is excellent but the refusal to allow bookings is an irritant. I have gone to the door a lot more often than I have gone in.
    The important thing, which I didn't say, restaurants are entirely subjective. As long as you find one place you like, it doesn't matter if all the other places you don't eat at are crap.

    I'm sure if I went to Clacton I would find a perfectly acceptable place to eat in.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,528

    Of course you can compare a per mile basis because that's a like-for-like comparison, comparing longer trips to short ones is not a like-for-like comparison.

    Your Apollo mission comparison is faulty since there is no alternative method to get to the moon, you can't drive there. The valid comparison is with flights and the excellent safety record of planes is made by comparing planes to automobiles and other transport on a per mile basis.
    The death rate per mile flying to the moon is less than driving per mile so according to you it is safer. That is clearly nonsense.

    You just can't compare the per mile death rate for journeys that are not comparable in distance, which you have just said and with which I agree. Bike journeys on average are much much shorter than car journeys.
  • Why the hell should anyone slow down approaching a junction if they:

    a) have right of way
    b) are travelling under the speed limit.

    What an asinine thing to suggest.
    When I go to London I swap my usual watch for a £15 Casio. Why the hell would I do that when I:

    a) own the watch
    b) have the right not to be robbed

    Asinine. Also I lock my house and my car when not occupying them. Idiotic.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,059

    Which would be relevant if the cyclist was going past a slow sign when this incident happened?

    Where they? Or where they simply travelling with right of way at less than the speed limit, which is perfectly legitimate?
    Legitimate or not drivers are less likely to see cyclists or motorcyclists when pulling out of a junction than they are a car
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,059

    I've been against asinine "traditions" since long before I ever heard anyone use the term "woke" as a perjorative.

    Your invented "traditions" are utterly meaningless claptrap, clinging to them is certainly a snooze.
    As you are a non conservative ultra liberal
  • I've been against asinine "traditions" since long before I ever heard anyone use the term "woke" as a perjorative.

    Your invented "traditions" are utterly meaningless claptrap, clinging to them is certainly a snooze.
    Making good carbonara is the only important thing in making carbonara

    Cream does not help

    Wankers can call pasta and cream etc carbonara; I can correct them, and cook something much better
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,400
    kjh said:

    Because they are on a bike and don't want to die. I cycle and will always take care crossing a junction because I would rather be alive than dead but right.
    Wuss.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,528

    Which would be relevant if the cyclist was going past a slow sign when this incident happened?

    Where they? Or where they simply travelling with right of way at less than the speed limit, which is perfectly legitimate?
    And as they take their last breath in intensive care they can say 'But I had right of way'.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,528
    rcs1000 said:

    Wuss.
    Although I liked, I had to also post I liked because I laughed out loud.
  • kjh said:

    The death rate per mile flying to the moon is less than driving per mile so according to you it is safer. That is clearly nonsense.

    You just can't compare the per mile death rate for journeys that are not comparable in distance, which you have just said and with which I agree. Bike journeys on average are much much shorter than car journeys.
    No astronauts ever died travelling to the moon, so its moot whether you compare per distance or per trip, the solution is zero death rate.

    So maybe you should compare like-for-like.

    Longer trips of course have a greater risk of having incidents, but per mile there is no significant difference between the risk of cycles and the risk of bikes. The reason cars on aggregate have a higher incident rate is because there are more cars on the road, travelling further, so more opportunities for incidents to happen.

    Comparing total cycle incidents to total car incidents without controlling for total mileage of each is an utterly invalid comparison. It'd be like a car brand, lets say BMW, comparing total incidents involving BMWs and total incidents involving non-BMWs. Without controlling for mileage, of course BMWs would come across as safer than non-BMWs so could they legitimately say that driving a BMW is safer than everyone else?

    But that would just be because there are more non-BMWs on the road than there are BMWs. Every single brand could make that dodgy comparison and then we'd just be left with every single brand being safer than everyone else which is clearly nonsense.

    Control for mileage and you can get a legitimate comparison.
  • There's no such thing as tradition.
    Quite right. I remember my old dad telling me that. He told me that he heard it from his own father, who got the word from my great grandfather, who in turn...
  • In the last two years?
    The pedometer downloaded to my iPhone indicates I have managed just over 11 million steps in just over two years. Given I’m 61 and in a sedentary job I don’t think that’s too bad. Mostly achieved walking round London. I generally only take the tube if it’d take me more than half an hour to walk.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,400
    edited September 2024

    No astronauts ever died travelling to the moon, so its moot whether you compare per distance or per trip, the solution is zero death rate.

    So maybe you should compare like-for-like.

    Longer trips of course have a greater risk of having incidents, but per mile there is no significant difference between the risk of cycles and the risk of bikes. The reason cars on aggregate have a higher incident rate is because there are more cars on the road, travelling further, so more opportunities for incidents to happen.

    Comparing total cycle incidents to total car incidents without controlling for total mileage of each is an utterly invalid comparison. It'd be like a car brand, lets say BMW, comparing total incidents involving BMWs and total incidents involving non-BMWs. Without controlling for mileage, of course BMWs would come across as safer than non-BMWs so could they legitimately say that driving a BMW is safer than everyone else?

    But that would just be because there are more non-BMWs on the road than there are BMWs. Every single brand could make that dodgy comparison and then we'd just be left with every single brand being safer than everyone else which is clearly nonsense.

    Control for mileage and you can get a legitimate comparison.
    You should probably control for road type too: motorway driving is incredibly safe for pedestrians on a per mile basis, but bicycles are (understandably) not allowed there.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,650
    kjh said:

    @Richard_Tyndall After I made my post I then saw your post about 'what if it had been a motorcyclist travelling at that speed' and I immediately had second thoughts about what I said because I thought you made a very good point and I now have my doubts.

    You make a very valid point and all I can say to defend that part of my post regarding the speed of the bike is that motorcyclists and cyclists are a lot less visible and should accordingly ride a lot more defensively, and also they are a lot more vulnerable. It is a lot easier to see a car than a bike.

    It doesn't take away from the point that the car driver was at fault, but a bike is much harder to see and he was travelling very fast and was very vulnerable. A car is much bigger and much safer if hit.

    So I do think it makes a difference whether you are riding a bike or driving a car. That doesn't take away the responsibility of the driver to look properly, but one must have sympathy because most of us have made mistakes like this before, but have been lucky enough to get away with it.
    I think there are a couple of important points in this.

    One is that drivers (and sometimes pedestrians and cyclists) expect pedestrians to move at walking pace, and cyclists to move at the pace they (the driver) moved at when they were last on a cycle (eg at the age of 11), and are not good at judging the speed of a motorcyclist. We need to address that.

    Second is that speed estimation skills are poor amongst average drivers anyway, and 80% think they are "above average". Otherwise why would there be such a fuss about "but I can't keep below the speed limit"?

    Speed estimation is not difficult, and all new cars are required to have and the skill can be effectively addressed through initial, and continuing education *. All it needs is to judge yourself, or to count lamp posts, white lines, or parked cars at 5-6m each, to get a good enough estimate.

    * When we get some continuing education.
  • If it weren't for me and a few others, carbonara would just be creamy pasta

    Thank god for tradition
  • mercator said:

    It's a bit post hoc ergo propter hoc. No mention of the bearing likely CGT hikes have on the issue.
    Nothing to be honest

    The council tax hikes are enough
  • rcs1000 said:

    You should probably control for road type too: motorway driving is incredibly safe for pedestrians on a per mile basis, but bicycles are (understandably) not allowed there.
    True and we did this last time the discussion was had. Controlling it doesn't significantly alter the data, both cars [excluding motorways] and cycles from memory had the same risk to others per mile.
  • HYUFD said:

    Legitimate or not drivers are less likely to see cyclists or motorcyclists when pulling out of a junction than they are a car
    Why
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,317
    HYUFD said:

    @Liz_Cheney
    : "Dick Cheney will be voting for Kamala Harris,” per @TexasTribune
    https://x.com/AlexThomp/status/1832130500842156339

    Well Kamala can't win 'em all!
  • Nothing to be honest

    The council tax hikes are enough
    I don't think you can possibly know that unless you are closely related to or financial adviser to a large number of the sellers.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,263
    MattW said:

    I think there are a couple of important points in this.

    One is that drivers (and sometimes pedestrians and cyclists) expect pedestrians to move at walking pace, and cyclists to move at the pace they (the driver) moved at when they were last on a cycle (eg at the age of 11), and are not good at judging the speed of a motorcyclist. We need to address that.

    Second is that speed estimation skills are poor amongst average drivers anyway, and 80% think they are "above average". Otherwise why would there be such a fuss about "but I can't keep below the speed limit"?

    Speed estimation is not difficult, and all new cars are required to have and the skill can be effectively addressed through initial, and continuing education *. All it needs is to judge yourself, or to count lamp posts, white lines, or parked cars at 5-6m each, to get a good enough estimate.

    * When we get some continuing education.
    When I was a motorcyclist (Yamaha RD200) I always assumed car drivers were dangerous psychopaths who were deaf and blind and trying to kill me. It's why I am still here, because a fair number are.
  • The pedometer downloaded to my iPhone indicates I have managed just over 11 million steps in just over two years. Given I’m 61 and in a sedentary job I don’t think that’s too bad. Mostly achieved walking round London. I generally only take the tube if it’d take me more than half an hour to walk.
    That's quite an impressive total, and hardly sedentary!

    I've just checked my Garmin, and in the last year I've done 5,658,076 steps, with all the running and walking I do.

    A million steps is roughly 500 miles (vague average, with 0.8m stride...). That means you have done 5,500 miles in two years, or about 7=8 miles a day (if my tired brain's done the maths correctly...)
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,884
    HYUFD said:

    @Liz_Cheney
    : "Dick Cheney will be voting for Kamala Harris,” per @TexasTribune
    https://x.com/AlexThomp/status/1832130500842156339

    I wonder how much a problem for the Republicans that essentially all remaining sensible key people in that party are voting Harris?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108
    I admit that before I visited the town museum here yesterday, I didn't know that the Japanese had ever invaded Alaska. But they did, occupying three of the Alaskan islands, assumed to be for use as airbases in order to bomb Alaska and western Canada.

    Naturally, the North Americans didn't fancy the Blitz experience, and so the US and Canadians planned an invasion to retake the islands, landing at different points so that the defending Japanese would be surrounded. The only flaw in the plan was that in the meantime the Japanese had clearly decided the occupation/bombing plan was unfeasible and had gone home, leaving the Americans and Canadians to meet each other mid-island, with tragic consequences
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,528

    Why
    Because we are a lot smaller. It happens to me all the time when I am cycling and practically never when driving.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    edited September 2024
    mercator said:

    I don't think you can possibly know that unless you are closely related to or financial adviser to a large number of the sellers.
    I live in Wales and listen to the local estate agents and local news media

    https://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-news/second-homes-flood-market-after-29879662
  • That's quite an impressive total, and hardly sedentary!

    I've just checked my Garmin, and in the last year I've done 5,658,076 steps, with all the running and walking I do.

    A million steps is roughly 500 miles (vague average, with 0.8m stride...). That means you have done 5,500 miles in two years, or about 7=8 miles a day (if my tired brain's done the maths correctly...)
    Yes, it indicates just over 5,000 miles, so my stride is not perhaps as long as that. I calculate that I’m doing around 48 miles a week on average. I like walking, and there’s always stimulation from walking around London.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,159
    rcs1000 said:

    You should probably control for road type too: motorway driving is incredibly safe for pedestrians on a per mile basis, but bicycles are (understandably) not allowed there.
    The nature of most cycling (urban areas, densely populated, "London, Cambridge, Bristol, Edinburgh, Oxford") means that you are in close proximity to lots of pedestrians during short journeys in city centres. You would need to do a complex bit of modelling where you select only the kind of car journey that matches that profile.

    It's a silly argument anyway; the laws of physics are enough.
  • Well Kamala can't win 'em all!
    As long as she wins 270 of 'em...
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,937
    edited September 2024

    If it weren't for me and a few others, carbonara would just be creamy pasta

    Thank god for tradition

    Oh mate.

    You definitely didn’t read the thread a few days ago.

    Carbonara was invented in 1944 for American GIs who wanted breakfast pasta.

    Banging on about the traditional Carbonara recipe is the gastronomic equivalent of pronouncing bucket bouquet.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,159
    edited September 2024

    That's quite an impressive total, and hardly sedentary!

    I've just checked my Garmin, and in the last year I've done 5,658,076 steps, with all the running and walking I do.

    A million steps is roughly 500 miles (vague average, with 0.8m stride...). That means you have done 5,500 miles in two years, or about 7=8 miles a day (if my tired brain's done the maths correctly...)
    6,015,086 ;)

    17 million (/2) is quite something, BL. If you are anything like Edinburgh posties, your calves have together more girth than your torso.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,821
    HYUFD said:

    A car driver should do so too
    Nobody at all, car or cyclist, goes along a main road on which they have priority slowing down at all the side roads just in case some madman careers out of it and crashes into them.
    Yes, slow down at busy junctions like signal controlled crossroads where priority changes or is ambiguous. But the behaviour you're suggesting just doesn't happen, and nor need it.
  • carnforth said:

    Jack Draper in his first Grand Slam Semi-Final starting now. Not the favourite, against top seed Jannik Sinner (Draper was seeded 25th).

    Depends if Sinner has had his special rub down or not....
This discussion has been closed.