Tuesday’s Georgia RunOff is. looking very tight – politicalbetting.com

What is dominating US politics at the moment is the runoff election on Tuesday between the final two contenders in the Georgia Senate race.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
https://www.worldofreel.com/blog/2022/12/sight-and-sound
On sight and sound's film poll.
Feels more likely this time than last, even though the polling is still close.
How significant would it be to have that extra 1 seat, and presumably be less beholden to the Manchins in their ranks?
Just a different class.
Quite frankly, bring on the fucking robots
Those were the tough fights. For union rights. And voting rights. And gay rights. And women's rights. If they didn't get tired you cannot get tired.
Missing any big one's that might set some people off?
The tone does remind me a little of a 30 Rock episode with a politician who could stir everyone up no matter what they said, even if what they said was they had lost their train of thought several minutes ago.
https://www.defenseone.com/technology/2022/12/watch-b-21-unveiling-live/380399/
I'm not expecting it to look much different from the artists' renderings. The really interesting stuff will be beneath the hood, as it were.
Is this Woke shit ever going to end?
I see that the Fascists who closed the core of the Wellcome Collection have NOT been corrected and their decision has NOT been reversed. As I predicted
He's utterly lost as to the permutations of who needs what.
This is just another, perhaps transient, manifestation of that.
Your reaction is frankly childish.
What really happened with the Hunter Biden story suppression by Twitter will be published on Twitter at 5pm ET!
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1598778884639653891
Also amazing is if you construct a Group of Groups of all 32 teams guess who comes top with 7 pts and a +7 goal difference?
Yep - exactly.
Senegal, probably France, Spain/Portugal
Or
Netherlands, probably Argentina, probably Brazil?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/63840635
https://www.politico.com/news/2022/12/02/haley-pence-dark-money-00071793
I'd say France are 4/6 favourites for that game. England most definitely have a chance. It is insane to write them off
My van looked like this when I started my round
I earn my peanuts
Senegal in round 2, France in the quarter finals, Spain in the semis, Brazil in the final. Win those four (especially the last three) and we will be undeniably the best in the world.
https://twitter.com/washingtonpost/status/1598633396711968770
Musk “sent up the Bat Signal to every kind of racist, misogynist and homophobe that Twitter was open for business,” the head of one of the research groups said.
https://nyti.ms/3H5BCJC
Winning World Cups is fecking hard, and is only getting harder as so many teams improve. This, no doubt, is why so few nations have ever won a World Cup, despite it being a global game
Football is one of England's many wonderful gifts to the world. Unfortunately it is REALLY popular
I think we can do it - seriously - but we will need our best performances and our share of good fortune. I hope and think we'll get past Senegal but the other three - let's be honest - they are all very tough games. We may be good enough to win one perhaps two but all three, to do that would be such a wondrous thing.
WASHINGTON (AP) — Democrats voted Friday to remove Iowa as the leadoff state on the presidential nominating calendar and replace it with South Carolina starting in 2024, a dramatic shakeup championed by President Joe Biden to better reflect the party’s deeply diverse electorate.
The Democratic National Committee’s rule-making arm made the move to strip Iowa from the position it has held for more than four decades after technical meltdowns sparked chaos and marred results of the state’s 2020 caucus. The change also comes after a long push by some of the party’s top leaders to start choosing a president in states that are less white, especially given the importance of Black voters as Democrats’ most loyal electoral base. . . .
Following Biden’s recommendations, the committee also opted to have New Hampshire and Nevada jointly vote second, a week after South Carolina, followed by Georgia and Michigan, two critical battleground states that would round out the top five in subsequent weeks. All the proposed contests would likely be held in February 2024. . . .
The move will still have to be approved by the full DNC in a vote likely early next year, but it will almost certainly follow the rule-making committee’s lead.
The revamped schedule could largely be moot for 2024 if Biden opts to seek a second term, but may remake Democratic presidential cycles in 2028 and beyond. . . .
Biden wrote in a letter to rules committee members on Thursday that the party should scrap “restrictive” caucuses altogether because their rules on in-person participation can sometimes exclude working-class and other voters. He told also told party leaders privately that he’d like to see South Carolina go first to better ensure that voters of color aren’t marginalized as Democrats choose a presidential nominee.
Four of the five states now poised to start the party’s primary are presidential battlegrounds . . .
The first five voting states would be positioned to cast ballots before Super Tuesday, the day when much of the rest of the country holds primaries. . . .
The Republican National Committee has already decided to keep Iowa’s caucus as the first contest in its 2024 presidential primary, ensuring that GOP White House hopefuls — which include Trump — have continued to frequently campaign there. . . .
Still, the vote by the rules committee has faced serious pushback, with some states vowing to ignore the changes altogether. That’s despite the panel approving language saying states could lose all of their delegates to the party’s national convention if they attempt to violate new rules.
Iowa and New Hampshire have said laws in their states mandate them going before others, and they intend to abide by those, not DNC decrees.
Nevada, with its heavily Hispanic population, has balked at sharing the second-place slot with New Hampshire, a state 2,500 miles away. . . .
Come see how reactionaries constantly moan
Can't admit that the world is no longer their own
In fury they tap tap away at their phone
Cos the times they don't want to be changing
Nor the fear of France in the QF.
In a WC QF you'd be very surprised and count yourself extremely lucky to play a poor side.
To paraphrase, when we are good, we are very, very good but when we are bad, book the taxis to the airport.
I'd say there are probably nine teams in the world that England aren't definitely favourites against, all else (form/injuries/suspension) being equal. One of them didn't even qualify, two didn't make it out of the group stage. That still leaves six teams (*) and you're going to have to beat at least three of them.
(*) Netherlands, Argentina, Brazil, France, Spain, Portugal. And maybe, based on history, Croatia.
I fancy USA to beat Holland for some reason.
Not sure whether Spain to beat Morocco counts. (As a second to beat group winner).
Nor Japan over Croatia. (As a group winner over second).
But I'm feeling it. Not just saying that, I am.
16s: Senegal
QF: France or Poland
SF: Spain, Portugal, Switzerland or Morocco
F: Netherlands, USA, Argentina, Australia, Japan, Croatia, Brazil or South Korea
Yes, some are more likely and others pretty improbable especially with those Final opponents, but don't rule out some non-obvious match ups along the way.
The most value in it is probably looking for individual critics or directors polled that you like and seeing which films they chose.
Politico: Trump 45, DeSantis 30 Pence 7, Others 13
Emerson: Trump 55, DeSantis 25 Pence 8, Others 11
Harvard-Harris: Trump 46, DeSantis 28 Pence 7, Others 9
It feels to me that the non-Trump votes have to coalesce round DeSantis or Trump will win again.
And Japan to beat Croatia (is that a shock?)
I can't bear to think about England Senegal
As every single team, with the possible exception of Morocco, has turned in at least one performance that was way below par.
Snap.
2 Leicester City players still in. James Maddison, who hasn't yet played, and Nampalys "Papy" Mendy for Senegal, who has played well. One or the other will be coming home on Sunday.
But DeSantis might prove not up to it on the national stage; Trump might implode in the next twelve months. The two are correctly favourites (probably), but it’s not certain either will get it.
And the rest of the field is available at decently long odds - some like Hogan very long indeed.
FWIW, I’ve laid Trump hard. Not something I thought I’d say in public.
I note that not a single one of their squad plays in an African league.
Exactly 40 years ago Newsnight ran a story about installing fibre optic cables in British homes. Starts at 9 mins 36 secs.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Iv0UZGJzVQY
Edward Snowden, a former National Security Agency contractor who leaked information about U.S. surveillance programs, swore an oath of allegiance to Russia and has collected his Russian passport, his lawyer told state media on Friday.
https://twitter.com/washingtonpost/status/1598686161333063680
If you live in a country and have family there and you have the ability to get dual citizenship it's generally better to take it. All the more so if the country you're currently a citizen of has revoked your passport.
Twitter has reinstated the account of Andrew Anglin, editor of the neo-Nazi website Daily Stormer. His account was suspended nearly a decade ago.
https://twitter.com/Shayan86/status/1598742995607719977
Surely as a citizen of Russia he could now make his way out of the country to another place with a less odious regime which also won't hand him over to the US?
https://twitter.com/MatthewPope/status/1598571845049061376
Of course, South Carolina went to Biden last time, the first of the early states to go his way.
Looking at last time, its fun to see how long Tulsi Gabbard stayed in. Technically.
Rishi Sunak: Sad to see my good friend @sajidjavid stepping back from politics.
He’s been a proud champion of enterprise and opportunity during his time in Government and on the backbenches - particularly for the people of Bromsgrove.
May the Force be with you, Saj.
https://twitter.com/RishiSunak/status/1598649618321006593?cxt=HHwWgoCzxfPWxa8sAAAA
ETA pictured here: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-62058324
Can't think why he has plugged them to be first next time.
Can't blame him. Must be incredibly disturbing to be in the same party as Truss, Kwarteng and Braverman and realise the membership like them more than you.
Finnish PM Sanna Marin has said Europe is "not strong enough" to stand up to Russia's invasion of Ukraine on its own, and has had to rely on US support.
During a visit to Australia, the leader of the pending Nato member said Europe's defences must be strengthened.
"I must be brutally honest with you, Europe isn't strong enough right now," she said. "We would be in trouble without the United States."
The US is by far the largest provider of military assistance to Ukraine.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-63838350
Iowa has always been a mess.
If Biden’s still up to it by then, he’d walk it which ever state comes first. If he’s not, the same applies.
This creates an opening for somebody a little bit audacious to go ahead and campaign there anyhow, then go into SC as the de facto leader against Biden or whoever the party-establishment Dem is.