SKS reaches new betting high as PM after general election – politicalbetting.com
SKS reaches new betting high as PM after general election – politicalbetting.com
I like this betting market because it seeks to look at the possibilities that there could be after the next election where it is beginning to look that neither of the main parties are in with a real chance of a majority.
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rcs1000 said:
"India are - of course - playing a dangerous game. If (when) Russia were to become a client state of China, they might soon find their flow of weapons drying up."
So? Ukraine has shown they have been buying shitty second-rate crap from Russia for decades.
American/NATO country hardware is what you need to be buying. Even their cast-offs are way better than what Russia is selling. If indeed Russia can deliver. They will be rebuilding their own armies - delivery dates are going to be years, not months. And even that depends on sourcing western chips.
Actually second after gazumping.
But it's not just this week is it? It's part of a pattern of behviour from him that we've heard about for years, maybe even decades?
The only difference is that this week there's so much attention on him that people are starting to actually see it rather than it just being rumour in newspapers...
He’s lost his beloved mother and I have sympathy for him, but his essential character is shining through.
Not sure I've ever heard this from William. Harry, yes.
= 8pm EDT = 1am Wed UK
I suppose that's something. Their median view would probably be David Attenborough - an establishment patrician Leftie with a massive soft spot for the Royal Family.
But they are merely reflecting the views of the vast majority of Brits, who are also monarchist and Unionist, even if for many it is tepidly felt or a very second order issue
https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1569698859831508995?s=20&t=tu8jOD5uWxQhSbzEDes5_g
Mike may well think its SKS who gets the csll but it us not that simple. SKS has ruled out formal deals with anyone. It may well be that the LDs snd SNP will let him get a QS through but in the absence of a formal deal, the largest party will get first dibs on a minority govt, and that, as we saw last thread, is currently 50/50 in betting.
Con largest party 281 to 280 say would get first crack and the terms say that counts as Truss for this bet.
Theres scope here to make some money.......
Pat Roach also played the big guy with the turban in Temple of Doom.
Roll on PM Starmer. You might be dull and uninspiring, but at least you are not a self-promoting glory hound determined to trash anything that stands in your way to the top.
It was just so quiet inside the Kirk. But outside, that vibe when you're walking to church on Christmas eve, or on the way to the bonfire on 5th November, or to the high street at Hogmanay. Doing it in the dark really added to it for me.
https://twitter.com/motytchak/status/1569702217661259777
BBC1 is still the most watched TV channel, even with freeview
Edit - it gets voted down and then SKS tries, but the terms here would be Truss wins
Same goes for the UK monarchy. Except that in this case the monarchy has 60% support and 20% opposition. It really is not going anywhere. It is quite possible it is more popular now than it has ever been
There is always everything to play for.
give it to me hard and dry, your maj. I love it.
This is partly balanced by the usual Tory governments installing rightwing administrators, from time to time
It is deeply imperfect and will probably die unless it evolves fast. I am unsure that whatever replaces it will be any better
Like nature, the green shoots of human society cannot remain dormant in the earth for long.
I seem to recall you were particularly upset by how empty and dead the capital had become during the worst of it.
But the continuation of the UK monarchy, for the next - say - 20 years - is as good as a sure bet as you get in world politics. It is extremely hard to envisage a scenario where it falls. Nuclear war? But then we are all dead
Revisit this issue in a year's time.
On the long wait in the dark - I wonder if it really does stir something in our minds? Just thinking of things like Hogmanay, Christmas, Guy Fawkes. Oidhche Challain in the Western Isles, Up Helly Aa on Shetland, and the Burning of the Clavie in Moray.
Julia Davis
@JuliaDavisNews
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18m
Russia has secretly funneled at least $300 million to foreign political parties and candidates in more than two dozen countries since 2014 in an attempt to shape political events beyond its borders, according to a new U.S. intelligence review.
https://twitter.com/JuliaDavisNews/status/1569786833453850624
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$300m less for spending on Vlad's utterly shite military. Oh dear, how sad, never mind...
I was thinking almost this exact same thought this evening as I flaneured about Seville
I remember people predicting “the death of cities”
Lol, how wrong. People will always come together in bigger and bigger numbers for food, sex, chat, worship, society, politics, art, sports. This is, literally, civilisation. Humanity is not returning to village life
Seville buzzes tonight
I've owned horses more intelligent than he is. Actually I have never owned one that wasn't.
Australia and other "realms" though are much less likely to keep the monarchy under Charles than they were under Elizabeth.
A new epoch begins
Because I don't believe that the Conservative Party is likely to get its Kings Speech through Parliament, unless it was overwhelmingly the latest party: Labor, libdems, snp, PC, Green and most NI MPs will vote against.
If Ms Truss does not believe she has the confidence of the House, then she cannot tell the King that she does. And no one wants a situation where the Kings Speech is voted down.
In summary: I disagree.
Only Eddy 7 "retired" and none of them want to be associated with that.
If the Russian archives are opened after Putins downfall they will be of a great deal of interest. Several well known figures will be very embarrassed.
And nor will Truss.
Something not always obvious from London.
A lot of the talent comes up through that route.
Canada won't change as both PM Trudeau and the Conservative Opposition back the monarchy. New Zealand likely won't either. However let us not forget most Commonwealth nations have already become republics or got their own monarchs in Elizabeth's reign
http://www.republic.org.nz/latestblog/2021/11/17/opinion-poll-44-republic-50-monarchy-after-the-queen
I expect probably a bit of a dip as some Commonwealth Realms become republics and that causes a few people to go, ''eh, I suppose it is time for it", but he wasn't as unpopular as some thought before he got a boost from being king, and the polling hasn't massively changed I believe.
You clearly feel very very strongly about him personally, and I just don't think most will one way or another, and so the prevailing position is sustained.
The monarchy get survive on general apathy and some fervent support. It's mass opposition it could not handle, and we're a long long way from that.
Not a political comment at all, but merely a personal reaction.
Remember too that the PLP is far more left-wing than SKS is trying to present himself as so if he attempts to govern in the center there will be havoc in the Labour Party though my guess is that given he stuck it out on Jezza's shadow cabinet right to end he will turn out to be a pretty radical left-winger himself once elected.
Don't get me wrong he will be PM in 2025 but I don't think he will be saviour of the nation somehow...
Ah, those were the days. I remember one motivational team talk where the the MD told us " If it were (sic) up to me I wouldn't even pay you bastards in washers". It looks like Charles went to the same management finishing school.
Self identifying as a queen wouldn't stop him from being the King...
Sometimes used to see that after the football. Good talent, really sound use of the licence fee that ticking clock.
A heck of a lot of folk have been played. For money, for flattery, or out of stupidity.
Again. This is not a political comment. Both wings and the centre have folk who've been corrupted.
Feb 74 is the precedent, neither party had a formal deal so the very marginally larger party formed a short term minority.
Id expect a Truss largest party would be put in to bat by the rest to be brought down at leisure
Did you not fancy taking your pipes to the queue last night to add to the atmosphere?
It will sound a bit discordant until the new year, then just be part of the furniture.
"How is the Cass review relevant to a court case on the validity of the charitable status of the LGB alliance?"
On the assumption that this was a genuine question, I will attempt to answer.
The court case has to determine two matters:-
1. Does the charity Mermaids have the legal standing to bring a claim at all? This is the most important question because if it does not - and the bar is very high indeed - none of the rest of its claims matter.
2. Can it establish that LGB Alliance are in breach of their charitable objects and charity law?
Both issues are being reviewed at the same time.
As part of this LGB Alliance are stating that they are concerned about young lesbians and whether they are being wrongly categorised as trans and made subject to treatment. Mermaids are disputing this. The Cass Interim Report is relevant to this issue because it deals with the question of how children with gender issues are being treated, whether some of those concerns may in fact relate to their sexuality rather than any gender issues and the effect of Mermaids' advocacy on how clinics like the Tavistock have operated. And by implication on young lesbians.
Hence the questioning about this topic. If the judge thought this irrelevant, he would have stopped the questioning. What is interesting is that in their answers Mermaids say that they have not really reviewed the Cass Report because they are not experts on health. This is a bit odd because it appears to conflict with other public statements they have made about the health treatment to be given to children. It is, however, early stages in the case.
The case is interesting for a large number of reasons, not all of them related to the trans issue.
Hope that helps.
The King Father
God I feel old.
I'm not sure mine would be playable, anyway. I think the wood goes after a while.