This morning’s front pages are, in the main, positive for Sunak – politicalbetting.com

Inevitably the budget totally dominates the from pages and next PM betting favourite Sunak will probably feel pleased with the coverage. His position in the betting has not changed.
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From "aardvark" to "zither" with stops at "dingleberry", "flint dildo" and "toaster oven"
https://hansard.parliament.uk/commons/2021-10-27/debates/0B8990CB-67B6-403F-BD6D-838F5985D368/FinancialStatement
Imagine you live in a country with 0% income tax on the first £10,000 of earnings, 20% on the next £10,000, and 50% on everything above that.
Now, a single man earning £30,000/year will pay 0% on the first £10,000 (£0), then 20% on the next £10,000 (£2,000), and 50% on the final £10,000 (£5,000), for an individual tax liability of £7,000.
All very simple. Now imagine that he marries a woman, and she's earning exactly the same.
So, family income £60,000, family tax liability £14,000.
The woman then becomes pregnant (excuse my traditional family schtick), and gives up work.
Because there are two members of the family, they get to combine their returns. Husband plus wife get two lots of £10,000 tax free, and two lots of £10,000 at 20%. This means that their tax liability on his £30,000 income is now 0% on £20,000, and then 20% on the remainder - i.e. £2,000.
If they have a kid, it gets even better, because that kid comes with their own tax allowance. Now, they have three lots of £10,000 tax free allowances.
What this means is that having a kid can actually be financially a positive for middle class French families. The stats are extraordianary - across the developed world, TFRs for female graduates are (a) usually only just over 1, and (b) always worse than for women without degrees. Except in France, where female graduates are more likely to have children.
Most obviously, children in most agricultural societies are your workforce.
The answer is somewhat surprising;
https://www.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/comments/qgvc4n/average_fixed_internet_speed_in_european/
In fact this is a pretty crappy budget, short termist and utterly failing to address the structural crisis that the Tory Hard Brexit is creating for UK PLC. Agriculture & Fisheries are in meltdown, Small busineses have lost up to 80% of their previous export markets. All sectors are facing unsolvable labour shortages and investment is simply not available to even begin to tackle the problem. Meanwhile infrastucture decays and energy price spikes are leading to yet another supply shock. The forecast inflation rate of above 5%, if anything, looks too low. The Bank of England is putting off the inevitible rate rises in the face of political pressure.
Its a lethal combination.
This budget cut the price of champagne and that is a metaphor for the entire "rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic" attitude that Johnson and Sunak display. We need major structural reform, we are getting a disastrous Tax and Spend joke.
So sure the Tory propaganda sheets can gloat all they want, but it is whistling in the dark, because the truth doesnt really care what bullshit gloss the OpEd writers are putting on this.
Choose 2 items we can ask you about
- UK passport
- P60
- Credit reference questions eg year you took out a credit card or phone contract
- Northern Ireland driving licence
And no, I do not live in Northern Ireland. But look at number 3, which has presumably been written by a very recent graduate. Most of us have had credit cards and even phones for as long as we can remember, not three years ago when we left mum and dad to go off to university. Doesn't anyone check this rubbish?Citibank took me through setting up security questions. One of the ones it wanted me to use was:
"What is the name of your youngest child?"
How retarded do you have to be not to realise that this might change?
Households face squeeze from inflation and flat wages
The Tories' nightmare conversion to Brownism will end in catastrophe
Inflation may yet scupper Sunak
The Tories are in serious danger of misreading the national mood
Forget Sunak's Thatherite rhetoric – his Budget us a smash-and-grab raid on our money
https://www.telegraph.co.uk (£££)
The manifesto promise of 0.5% above inflation annual adjustment to defence spending has been casually discarded.
And Good Morning one and all!
It is to be hoped that after today I shall see a strong prospect of a reduction in one of the discomforts of old age!
(This was gentle humour. Hope whatever it is that you're doing/having done goes well.)
Are they really that dumb? Or are we so dumb, that this is the only hope of us remembering the correct answer.
I guess the (alleged) French approach of making sure your most recent child is not public knowledge also makes sense here.
Year I was born Global Population 2.7 billion people
The Global Population 2020 7.8 billion people.
Why are we shocked at shortages and global destruction?
BBC News (World)
@BBCWorld
India arrests Muslims for cheering Pakistan cricket team during ICC T20 World Cup
bbc.com
ICC T20 World Cup: India arrests Muslims for cheering Pakistan cricket team
Several people have been arrested for supporting Pakistan during Sunday's T20 World Cup cricket game.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-india-59059494
https://twitter.com/BBCWorld/status/1453606731334967298
(And starting your graphic with the Morning Star… anyone who have thought you were struggling to find a negative headline…)
And they will be asking for easily available information like the limit on a card so should be easy to get into.
"There is no money" will be on Labour's tombstone.
A future Conservative campaign focused on irresponsible spending promises by Labour just might run into some difficulties when their own Chancellor can announce £150bn of extra spending in a single budget package.
It should be an assessment of our need as opposed to a number in itself
"Robert'); DROP TABLE students;--"
Now, that's a proper name.
But in 1979, Thatcher inherited the mess of Jim "Crisis? What crisis? Callaghan after the IMF had been called in to salvage the economy.
In 1997, Gordon Brown walked into the golden inheritance of Ken Clarke's stewardship, admittedly after the debacle of the exit from the ERM. Brown was VERY touchy on his good fortune on this. He reportedly said "What do you want me to do, write him a fucking thank you?"
In 2010, the Coalition inherited the mess of the international sub-prime fiasco - but exacerbated by the failings of one Gordon Brown - failings which he had been warned about by the Conservatives.
And every Labour Government has left office with employment lower than they inherited.
What about this assessment is "childish"?
China rations diesel amid fuel shortages
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-59059093
Covid aside, In reality this is another austerity budget with a few gimmicks here and there.
I very much welcome the reform of UC taper, but it doesn’t compensate for the NI hike.
Nothing of substance for levelling up or carbon zero, so we just presume that those are effectively rhetorical devices.
Rachel Reeves’s reply was excellent.
He don’t do “adult”, unless expressly commanded to do so by Tory HQ.
There’s a global supply shock. Brexit makes it worse.
And if so, would the apostrophe in, for example, “O’Connor” count?
I just don’t see any shame attaching to the Uk. The MoD has always varied from useless to downright awful
Surestart restarting under another name
Neither of those are austerity measures - both were killed off by Osbourne's austerity.
How many breaches is that now?
IIRC the Americans offered us some Essex class carriers as a stop gap during the CVA-01 comedy. The issue was finding x * 1000 sailors to man them.
Health, education and defence are supposed to have been protected but everything else screwed.
Not sure about defence anymore.
Putting schools back to 2010 is very welcome, although notable in a way that we need to “go back” to 2010.
On Surestart 2.0, I am interested in the efficacy of this. Some posted a piece by Polly Toynbee but I’m not sure that counts.
The broader point is that the capability doesn't arrive fully formed when the ship goes in the sea. There are alot of other supporting elements and resources that have to be generated. The full Carrier Enabled Power Projection capability isn't scheduled to be declared until the end of 2026.
Ideally, it wouldn't take 27 years to do these things but here we are. The replacement project should already have been started but rather conspicuously hasn't.
Small example but I was bullied by the potential loss of a £400 credit on my phone contract into ordering a new phone from Vodaphone. I have been waiting 3 weeks now for them to deliver it.
i.e. reading to children is evidence of the learning culture in the home, not the cause of learning.
Surely it would be cheap to drop a complete set of Biff and Chip on x thousand homes, do some follow up and look at the results?
And personally I still find the joke funny, but senses of humour vary I suppose.
I can print off anything I need eg when HMRC insisted on knowing about the £1.02 interest I earned in 2020/ 21...
2022-23 47.9bn
2023-24 48.0bn
There is no way that is going to meet the '0.5% above inflation' commitment in the manifesto.
https://twitter.com/DavidGauke/status/1453623675077361668
Covid - albeit massive - is a one-off.
The U.K. has systemic productivity problems which have caused very long term wage suppression now. This is forecast to continue.
The budget does little to address that, or other long term issues.
The overall story is significant tax hikes.
Meanwhile, on Brexit, the government shows no signs of wanting to ameliorate a significant impediment to growth and productivity.