politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Lord Chancellor David Gauke becomes 3/1 favourite for next Cab

The big political betting development this afternoon have been a rush of money going on Lord Chancellor, David Gauke for next cabinet exit following a decision earlier by the High Court to block the release of the black cab rapist, John Worboys.
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I'd agree with Mike's final paragraph right now though, 3-1 is not an attractive price to bet at as it now stands.
These things happen, but it's still irksome.
The Parole board faced criticism after another case this week so Hardwick also probably had to go.
http://www.itv.com/news/tyne-tees/2018-03-09/men-accused-of-killing-vietnamese-woman-are-convicted-murderers-jury-told/
Whether Gauke goes or not depends on the legal advice he was given
I love Chris Huhne, without him I wouldn't have become guest editor of PB.
It’s very easy to conclude that someone is doomed only to see them hang on. Mrs May herself is a great example of this.
Although, unlike Croesus, he believed in handing monetary policy over to foreigners. [I think Croesus, as ruler of Lydia, created the first coined currency].
Ministers resigning simply because the courts have taken a different view of the law to government lawyers seems to me unnecessary, in the absence of some other fault.
"I had no role in the decision of the panel in the case"
Translation: I chaired the meeting in such a way that I got the decision I wanted without having to use my casting vote.
"I will not pass the buck to those who work under me"
Translation: I am blaming those who work under me but have been sacked by my boss.
https://twitter.com/Channel4News/status/979018823495020546
That said, perfect timing of a safety car could give track position, and the Haas might be good enough to keep a Red Bull behind it (McLaren was in Australia).
Cummings on the front foot now..
https://dominiccummings.com/2018/03/28/on-the-referendum-24d-walter-mitty-cambridge-analytica-facebook-and-the-guardian-observer/
Cummings looks like he is really enjoying himself now. He is exposing some remarkable hypocrisy by his accusers.
We're talking about one of the Great Officers of State, a role that goes back to the 7th Century.
It's not a Johnny Come Lately role like Lord Privy Seal.
This is the fault of Tony Blair and his constitutional vandalism.
He's a Russophile, perhaps he can explain the mindset of Vladimir Putin.
The basic story as reported is as follows:
A shady UK data analytics company, with the help of a 24 year old tech genius developed an innovative technique to ‘hack’ facebook and steal 50 million user profiles. Then they used this data to help the Trump and Brexit campaigns psychologically manipulate voters through targeted ads. The result was Vote Leave ‘won’ the UK’s Brexit referendum and Trump was elected president in the US.
Unfortunately, almost everything in the above summary is false or misleading.
https://god-knows-what.com/2018/03/27/why-almost-everything-reported-about-the-cambridge-analytica-facebook-hacking-controversy-is-wrong/
Hardly any of the Russians were played by a Russian, and the main American character was played by an Aussie.
Is this some bizarre joke by The Collaborator Channel Islands?
Not sure why the Duke of Lancaster title should be likewise, though.
However, having gotten on much earlier than 3/1, if not as early as some, I cannot help but hope a little that he goes.
https://twitter.com/matthewchampion/status/979034902879404032
You definitely missed your exit ....
From the thread heading ....
Pretty much every other major battle in the Wars of the Roses - First St Albans, Northampton, Towton, Barnet and Tewkesbury - the Lancastrians got their arses handed to them.
Anyway, on the note of French dubiousness I must be off.
Man has 'world's worst' super-gonorrhea
Public Health England says it is the first time the infection cannot be cured with first choice antibiotics
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-43571120
Bad news all around though, being so resistant.
He had a regular partner in the UK, but picked up the superbug after a sexual encounter with a woman in south-east Asia.
It's not SeanT is it?
I've read the comments on the previous thread & am interested in the MP/Mayoral predicament of Dan Jarvis. Can anyone explain to me why individual parties should decide their own rules on this, rather than having one constitutional set of rules regardless of party?
I don't see why a political party should put the country to the expense of a Bye Election if it isn't necessary constitutionally. Or if they do, shouldn't they pay the cost of the whole Bye Election? (It would at least be a good chance that the other parties weren't allowed to get away with overspend.)
Corbyn doesn’t have to sell his soul to address it. John McDonnell, his closest political ally, has shown a much surer touch in handling sensitive issues
Pretty sensible stuff. As for Corbyn planning to apologise but his statement amended, well, it is still his statement after all. And this sort of report will just make his base even more confused. Do they continue to say it is nonsense when not only has he said there is a problem, but he wanted to apologise earlier?
This seems to be trial by pitchfork to me.
People have caused by-elections just to make a point, I think it's not really for the law to decide which ones are justified and which not, and therefore who else should pay for it. Ultimately an MP cannot be fired, so if Jarvis or any other Labour MP wants to refuse to stand down from parliament, no one can force them to. If that scuppers his chance at actually standing as mayor, it remains an internal matter for the party and no one elses' concern really.
Do you think the right to privacy should prevent an accused party from mounting a defence? If so, then I am troubled that you are a lawyer.
Bosworth was the only one that mattered in the end.
There's ways of rebutting it without outing him.
'We were very good friends, and I'm sorry his recollection is wrong, I expected better from someone who I considered a very close friend'
It is surely up to the voters to decide whether the level of commitment being offered is acceptable by their representatives.
Jarvis seems a diligent sort of chap - I think he can handle a dual role for a while. Labour's manoeuvres on this are clearly an attempt to dislodge a potential threat rather than any desire for constitutional clarity.
If Labour mess this up, as they appear to be doing. Jarvis could end up as a rallying point in the Commons.
I'm not sure Pakistan has ever had a 'Save Pakistan from Sodomy' campaign.
Changing the rules part way through the process is just not democratic.
Jarvis stood making his intentions very clear. He was duly selected. Then the rules were changed. No wonder people are narked.
The man has a right to conduct a defence as he sees fit and without constraint.
However, the Prime Minister has a well-documented track record of tolerating juniors being abusive to others. Her acceptance of such appalling behaviour speaks volumes about her.