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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » After last week’s Tory loss of 5 local by-elections the blue team returns to its winning ways
Stamford, St. George’s on South Kesteven (Con defence) Result: Con 309 (46% +13% on last time), Ind 174 (26%, no candidate last time), Lab 114 (17% +1% on last time), Lib Dem 68 (10%, no candidate last time), Green 13 (2% -10% on last time) (No UKIP candidate this time -19%. No Stamford Independent this time -19%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 135 (20%) on a notional swing of 6.5% from Ind to Con (16% from UKIP to Con)
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Comments
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First, like Native River.0
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Thanks for this, Mr. Hayfield.0
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Not the worst Gold cup ever, Djakadam placing returns a tenner profit overall.
Difficult to tell proper swings with independents - though Harry does great work here.0 -
Not surprised they've deselected Sir Robin Wales in Newham.0
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Discussion FPT on tidal barrages...
(Which could, of course, also provide potential pumped storage)
The Swansea and Cardiff lagoons would together provide around 2% of UK electricity demand:
http://www.bath.ac.uk/i-see/images/PP_-_Ton_Fijen_Final_Oct_2017.pdf
(All 6 mooted tidal projects would provide up to 9% of demand)0 -
It would presumably lead to longer days as the earth slows down.Nigelb said:Discussion FPT on tidal barrages...
(Which could, of course, also provide potential pumped storage)
The Swansea and Cardiff lagoons would together provide around 2% of UK electricity demand:
http://www.bath.ac.uk/i-see/images/PP_-_Ton_Fijen_Final_Oct_2017.pdf
(All 6 mooted tidal projects would provide up to 9% of demand)0 -
Met Police announce a murder investigation following the death of 68 year old Russian Nikolai Glushkov earlier this week0
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I wonder whether this is what June 1914 felt like:
https://twitter.com/patrickwintour/status/9746755198317731900 -
Met police vs KGB...Big_G_NorthWales said:Met Police announce a murder investigation following the death of 68 year old Russian Nikolai Glushkov earlier this week
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Not so you'd notice.Anorak said:
It would presumably lead to longer days as the earth slows down.Nigelb said:Discussion FPT on tidal barrages...
(Which could, of course, also provide potential pumped storage)
The Swansea and Cardiff lagoons would together provide around 2% of UK electricity demand:
http://www.bath.ac.uk/i-see/images/PP_-_Ton_Fijen_Final_Oct_2017.pdf
(All 6 mooted tidal projects would provide up to 9% of demand)0 -
Mr. 86, I'm in the same boat. Still, that's betting.0
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F1: just a further ramble following earlier prognostications pertaining to Verstappen (and also Alonso, maybe Hulkenberg) being value if it rains.
Time enough for the weather forecast to change, and the Red Bull should have better race pace than qualifying speed, so I'd advocate not betting yet even if you think he'll do well.0 -
NoAlastairMeeks said:I wonder whether this is what June 1914 felt like:
https://twitter.com/patrickwintour/status/9746755198317731900 -
Russia seems to be acting far more recklessly to me now than it did as the USSR in Soviet times, when - even at its worst - it exhibited a basic level of geopolitical sanity.0
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I saw an interview with the makers of Babylon Berlin (set in the Weimar period) and they said it felt like we were in an interwar period.AlastairMeeks said:I wonder whether this is what June 1914 felt like:
https://twitter.com/patrickwintour/status/9746755198317731900 -
No.AlastairMeeks said:I wonder whether this is what June 1914 felt like:
https://twitter.com/patrickwintour/status/9746755198317731900 -
Does this mean Corbyn's day will come in 2 years time ?AlastairMeeks said:I wonder whether this is what June 1914 felt like:
https://twitter.com/patrickwintour/status/9746755198317731900 -
My Casio does to the hundredth of a second!Nigelb said:
Not so you'd notice.Anorak said:
It would presumably lead to longer days as the earth slows down.Nigelb said:Discussion FPT on tidal barrages...
(Which could, of course, also provide potential pumped storage)
The Swansea and Cardiff lagoons would together provide around 2% of UK electricity demand:
http://www.bath.ac.uk/i-see/images/PP_-_Ton_Fijen_Final_Oct_2017.pdf
(All 6 mooted tidal projects would provide up to 9% of demand)0 -
FPT Elliott "Do you have a source?"
There's a huge amount of detail buried in here:
http://www.tidallagoonpower.com/0 -
With Russia under pressure economically, I think Putin feels a sense of urgency about turning the geopolitical tables that he didn't feel previously. He seems to be looking for escalation and conflict.Casino_Royale said:Russia seems to be acting far more recklessly to me now than it did as the USSR in Soviet times, when - even at its worst - it exhibited a basic level of geopolitical sanity.
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It's gonna get dirty.....Pulpstar said:
Met police vs KGB...Big_G_NorthWales said:Met Police announce a murder investigation following the death of 68 year old Russian Nikolai Glushkov earlier this week
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The US put a huge amount of pressure on the Soviet Union and both the rhetoric and the probable reality was that the US was fully prepared to launch a full nuclear strike with sufficient provocation. The knowledge of that risk tempered Moscow's actions greatly.Casino_Royale said:Russia seems to be acting far more recklessly to me now than it did as the USSR in Soviet times, when - even at its worst - it exhibited a basic level of geopolitical sanity.
By contrast, the post-Iraq US has been more internationally timid than at any point since WW2 - the low point being perhaps Obama's non-response to the chemical attacks in Syria after saying it was a red line. Putin has learned that he has much more space than Khrushchev or Brezhnev had (though not necessarily the same resources).0 -
Mr. Glenn, but this is only going to prolong and deepen sanctions, further harming the Russian economy.
Mr. Royale is right. It's reckless to use a nerve agent. If the quantities had been on the high rather than low side, we could've seen hundreds of deaths in Salisbury.0 -
These are interesting projects - the Dogger Bank wind farm will also provide around 5% of UK demand (and provide a hub to facilitate the construction of a new North Sea interconnect) - but they don't really help with the immediate gas supply problem.MarqueeMark said:FPT Elliott "Do you have a source?"
There's a huge amount of detail buried in here:
http://www.tidallagoonpower.com/
Bringing back a significant amount of gas storage would help in the shorter term (and will also have significant cost).
Longer term, 100% renewables are just about feasible by 2050, with a few hurdles to be overcome...
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2542435118300485?via=ihub0 -
Another view from the USA
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-15/uk-manufacturing-its-nerve-agent-case-action-russia0 -
Only if Putin actually invades a Baltic State as the Austro Hungarians invaded Serbia and this time it was the Russians doing the assassination not facing an assassination as was the case with Archduke Franz Ferdinand.AlastairMeeks said:I wonder whether this is what June 1914 felt like:
https://twitter.com/patrickwintour/status/974675519831773190
Germany and Austria Hungary and the Ottoman Empire were also all in alliance at that point against the British Empire, Russia, France and Italy (later joined by the USA).
I cannot see what major powers are currently allied with Russia?0 -
Decarbonising electricity generation is the easy bit. Doing the same for heating and transportation (not just cars) is a much tougher ask. The choices are electricity or hydrogen, and neither is a perfect fit for everything or indeed anything. As for aviation, battery-powered airships?Nigelb said:
These are interesting projects - the Dogger Bank wind farm will also provide around 5% of UK demand (and provide a hub to facilitate the construction of a new North Sea interconnect) - but they don't really help with the immediate gas supply problem.MarqueeMark said:FPT Elliott "Do you have a source?"
There's a huge amount of detail buried in here:
http://www.tidallagoonpower.com/
Bringing back a significant amount of gas storage would help in the shorter term (and will also have significant cost).
Longer term, 100% renewables are just about feasible by 2050, with a few hurdles to be overcome...
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2542435118300485?via=ihub0 -
Russia is a big place...David_Evershed said:Another view from the USA
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-15/uk-manufacturing-its-nerve-agent-case-action-russia0 -
That's just republishing https://orientalreview.org/2018/03/15/the-uk-government-is-manufacturing-its-nerve-agent-case-for-action-on-russia/ on a site that has as its lead storyDavid_Evershed said:Another view from the USA
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-15/uk-manufacturing-its-nerve-agent-case-action-russia
Fatal Quad: Who Is Assassinating MI6 Assets On British Soil?
I don't think I have a tin foil hat big enough for that site.0 -
(To answer my own question, no. No one in June 1914 was taking a blind bit of notice of international manoeuvres.)0
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USSR shipping nuclear missiles into Cuba?Casino_Royale said:Russia seems to be acting far more recklessly to me now than it did as the USSR in Soviet times, when - even at its worst - it exhibited a basic level of geopolitical sanity.
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Mr. HYUFD, China's not a full-blown ally but they're the closest thing the Russians might have.0
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Is the weather glorious?AlastairMeeks said:I wonder whether this is what June 1914 felt like:
https://twitter.com/patrickwintour/status/9746755198317731900 -
Fake news. He posed that question a minute after the tweetScott_P said:
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History doesn't repeat, but often rhymes...HYUFD said:
Only if Putin actually invades a Baltic State as the Austro Hungarians invaded Serbia and this time it was the Russians doing the assassination not facing an assassination as was the case with Archduke Franz Ferdinand.AlastairMeeks said:I wonder whether this is what June 1914 felt like:
https://twitter.com/patrickwintour/status/974675519831773190
Germany and Austria Hungary and the Ottoman Empire were also all in alliance at that point against the British Empire, Russia, France and Italy (later joined by the USA).
I cannot see what major powers are currently allied with Russia?0 -
Not surprised because .....?AndyJS said:Not surprised they've deselected Sir Robin Wales in Newham.
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Which, if we maintain the same number of seconds per day, means more World records in athletics and more goals in football.Anorak said:
It would presumably lead to longer days as the earth slows down.Nigelb said:Discussion FPT on tidal barrages...
(Which could, of course, also provide potential pumped storage)
The Swansea and Cardiff lagoons would together provide around 2% of UK electricity demand:
http://www.bath.ac.uk/i-see/images/PP_-_Ton_Fijen_Final_Oct_2017.pdf
(All 6 mooted tidal projects would provide up to 9% of demand)0 -
I would have said Turkey. Which is a bit worrying, really.Morris_Dancer said:Mr. HYUFD, China's not a full-blown ally but they're the closest thing the Russians might have.
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It’s an astonishing way for a major state power to behave.williamglenn said:
With Russia under pressure economically, I think Putin feels a sense of urgency about turning the geopolitical tables that he didn't feel previously. He seems to be looking for escalation and conflict.Casino_Royale said:Russia seems to be acting far more recklessly to me now than it did as the USSR in Soviet times, when - even at its worst - it exhibited a basic level of geopolitical sanity.
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I can never quite gauge where Sino-Russian relations fit in with Putin's thinking. Is he acting tough with the West to stop the big dragon in the East from getting any ideas?HYUFD said:
Only if Putin actually invades a Baltic State as the Austro Hungarians invaded Serbia and this time it was the Russians doing the assassination not facing an assassination as was the case with Archduke Franz Ferdinand.AlastairMeeks said:I wonder whether this is what June 1914 felt like:
https://twitter.com/patrickwintour/status/974675519831773190
Germany and Austria Hungary and the Ottoman Empire were also all in alliance at that point against the British Empire, Russia, France and Italy (later joined by the USA).
I cannot see what major powers are currently allied with Russia?0 -
China is not going to go to war with the West over the Balkans, unless it is an issue in the Far East and South China Sea, China has no interest either way in terms of getting involved militarilyMorris_Dancer said:Mr. HYUFD, China's not a full-blown ally but they're the closest thing the Russians might have.
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Both Obama and Trump were/are poor Presidents, internationally, for different reasons.david_herdson said:
The US put a huge amount of pressure on the Soviet Union and both the rhetoric and the probable reality was that the US was fully prepared to launch a full nuclear strike with sufficient provocation. The knowledge of that risk tempered Moscow's actions greatly.Casino_Royale said:Russia seems to be acting far more recklessly to me now than it did as the USSR in Soviet times, when - even at its worst - it exhibited a basic level of geopolitical sanity.
By contrast, the post-Iraq US has been more internationally timid than at any point since WW2 - the low point being perhaps Obama's non-response to the chemical attacks in Syria after saying it was a red line. Putin has learned that he has much more space than Khrushchev or Brezhnev had (though not necessarily the same resources).0 -
Mr. Rentool, possibly, but there's a strategic disagreement there. The Kremlin likes Assad. Erdogan does not.0
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He does, and for all we don't like to give people what they want, given his love of and need to provoke is pretty well established, it is hard not to get drawn into his game that way. Given our own troubles it is not as though we are looking for escalation because we want it (there's the blowback cost, for one, plus our stretched resources, plus that our government does not have an election coming up which they would love an opportunity to posture before, nor will Labour go easy on the government domestically despite this), so the idea we are super keen to escalate is frankly bizarre, often based on ridiculous ideas that people pine for the 'simplicity' of the cold war or unjustified accusations of anti-russian xenophobia (why them about all others?), but when the Russians are willing to throw muscle around, and/or engage in this type of thing (whether they did so here, they have done it before), it's hard not to escalate as they want.williamglenn said:
With Russia under pressure economically, I think Putin feels a sense of urgency about turning the geopolitical tables that he didn't feel previously. He seems to be looking for escalation and conflict.Casino_Royale said:Russia seems to be acting far more recklessly to me now than it did as the USSR in Soviet times, when - even at its worst - it exhibited a basic level of geopolitical sanity.
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No great power has an interest in Russia trying to top people off - with chemical agents - outside its borders.
China won’t want to get involved because there is no particular value to their doing so - but they will not support Russia if push comes to shove, and nor are they a Russian ally particularly. Broadly, China gains from a well-behaved international system.
No, Russia is on its own, perhaps with the support of various dodgy dealers in Asia Minor or the Arabian Peninsula.0 -
I wouldn't say so, they're on different sides in Syria - though there are at least 5 or 6 'sides' in that conflict. It is now a 7 year warSandyRentool said:
I would have said Turkey. Which is a bit worrying, really.Morris_Dancer said:Mr. HYUFD, China's not a full-blown ally but they're the closest thing the Russians might have.
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Not sure what threat China really poses to Russia? It is not really a Russia ally but nor is it a Russian for.MarqueeMark said:
I can never quite gauge where Sino-Russian relations fit in with Putin's thinking. Is he acting tough with the West to stop the big dragon in the East from getting any ideas?HYUFD said:
Only if Putin actually invades a Baltic State as the Austro Hungarians invaded Serbia and this time it was the Russians doing the assassination not facing an assassination as was the case with Archduke Franz Ferdinand.AlastairMeeks said:I wonder whether this is what June 1914 felt like:
https://twitter.com/patrickwintour/status/974675519831773190
Germany and Austria Hungary and the Ottoman Empire were also all in alliance at that point against the British Empire, Russia, France and Italy (later joined by the USA).
I cannot see what major powers are currently allied with Russia?
India is more concerned by China over Nepal0 -
While we have putin murdering difficult people, the Chinese take a slightly different approach...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-03-16/china-hackers-hit-u-s-firms-linked-to-sea-dispute-fireeye-says0 -
This is an interesting read about Russia's spying activities around San Francisco.
http://foreignpolicy.com/2017/12/14/the-secret-history-of-the-russian-consulate-in-san-francisco-putin-trump-spies-moscow/0 -
Indeed, but that again is going to be a multi decade project.SandyRentool said:
Decarbonising electricity generation is the easy bit. Doing the same for heating and transportation (not just cars) is a much tougher ask. The choices are electricity or hydrogen, and neither is a perfect fit for everything or indeed anything. As for aviation, battery-powered airships?Nigelb said:
These are interesting projects - the Dogger Bank wind farm will also provide around 5% of UK demand (and provide a hub to facilitate the construction of a new North Sea interconnect) - but they don't really help with the immediate gas supply problem.MarqueeMark said:FPT Elliott "Do you have a source?"
There's a huge amount of detail buried in here:
http://www.tidallagoonpower.com/
Bringing back a significant amount of gas storage would help in the shorter term (and will also have significant cost).
Longer term, 100% renewables are just about feasible by 2050, with a few hurdles to be overcome...
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2542435118300485?via=ihub
Air sourced heat pumps (air conditioning in reverse) are a pretty efficient way of providing heating (they supply around 3x the energy in the form of heat that they consume in electricity). Together with transport, there is, of course, likely to be a significant increase in total electric demand.
The good news is that once the infrastructure is in place, it will be comparatively cheap to run... and government can borrow very cheaply right now.
(And don't laugh about electric aircraft...they will just take a bit longer.
https://www.theengineer.co.uk/darpa-flies-scaled-down-electric-model-of-vtol-aircraft/ )0 -
Simon Harris
Verified account @simonharrisitv
2h2 hours ago
BREAKING: Internal Labour Party coup ousts veteran council leader Sir Robin Wales after 23 years in charge of Newham, east London. @itvlondon
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HYUFD said:
Not sure what threat China really poses to Russia? It is not really a Russia ally but nor is it a Russian for.MarqueeMark said:
I can never quite gauge where Sino-Russian relations fit in with Putin's thinking. Is he acting tough with the West to stop the big dragon in the East from getting any ideas?HYUFD said:
Only if Putin actually invades a Baltic State as the Austro Hungarians invaded Serbia and this time it was the Russians doing the assassination not facing an assassination as was the case with Archduke Franz Ferdinand.AlastairMeeks said:I wonder whether this is what June 1914 felt like:
https://twitter.com/patrickwintour/status/974675519831773190
Germany and Austria Hungary and the Ottoman Empire were also all in alliance at that point against the British Empire, Russia, France and Italy (later joined by the USA).
I cannot see what major powers are currently allied with Russia?
India is more concerned by China over Nepal
The Chinese are currently buying up land in Siberia, which is getting the local government rather nervous. There has been theories circling around the Russian Foreign Office about a "what if" scenario, in which China needs more energy to meet its demands - so grabs land in Siberia.
Plus, the European Union is China's biggest export market. Beijing will not want Russia upsetting their buyers, especially Western Europe.0 -
Mr. 09, remind me, is that a Stalinist or Trotskyite victory?0
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As Labour hold every council seat on Newham council that should mean Momentum get to pick the next council leader after May's electionsmarke09 said:
Simon Harris
Verified account @simonharrisitv
2h2 hours ago
BREAKING: Internal Labour Party coup ousts veteran council leader Sir Robin Wales after 23 years in charge of Newham, east London. @itvlondon0 -
So Putin is definitely on his own thenDaniel said:HYUFD said:
Not sure what threat China really poses to Russia? It is not really a Russia ally but nor is it a Russian for.MarqueeMark said:
I can never quite gauge where Sino-Russian relations fit in with Putin's thinking. Is he acting tough with the West to stop the big dragon in the East from getting any ideas?HYUFD said:
Only if Putin actually invades a Baltic State as the Austro Hungarians invaded Serbia and this time it was the Russians doing the assassination not facing an assassination as was the case with Archduke Franz Ferdinand.AlastairMeeks said:I wonder whether this is what June 1914 felt like:
https://twitter.com/patrickwintour/status/974675519831773190
Germany and Austria Hungary and the Ottoman Empire were also all in alliance at that point against the British Empire, Russia, France and Italy (later joined by the USA).
I cannot see what major powers are currently allied with Russia?
India is more concerned by China over Nepal
The Chinese are currently buying up land in Siberia, which is getting the local government rather nervous. There has been theories circling around the Russian Foreign Office about a "what if" scenario, in which China needs more energy to meet its demands - so grabs land in Siberia.
Plus, the European Union is China's biggest export market. Beijing will not want Russia upsetting their buyers, especially Western Europe.0 -
Is this news? Only if you think Momentum and other far-left loons are behind it, which - see upthread - they seem not to be.marke09 said:
Simon Harris
Verified account @simonharrisitv
2h2 hours ago
BREAKING: Internal Labour Party coup ousts veteran council leader Sir Robin Wales after 23 years in charge of Newham, east London. @itvlondon
Perhaps people got fed up with him. Twenty-three years is a good innings.
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https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/16/how-to-curb-putin-russian-kleptocrats-salisbury-dirty-money
Interesting take from Margaret hodge, if we didn’t allow any rich Russians here, putin wouldn’t be murdering anybody on our soil. Not sure how the fact that the bloke who got topped spied for us and wasn’t part of the kleptocracy works with that theory.0 -
The Poor people of newham going to have to experience loony left.HYUFD said:
As Labour hold every council seat on Newham council that should mean Momentum get to pick the next council leader after May's electionsmarke09 said:
Simon Harris
Verified account @simonharrisitv
2h2 hours ago
BREAKING: Internal Labour Party coup ousts veteran council leader Sir Robin Wales after 23 years in charge of Newham, east London. @itvlondon0 -
The Momentum parasite is starting to eat its host, Newham is just the appetiserFrancisUrquhart said:
The Poor people of newham going to have to experience loony left.HYUFD said:
As Labour hold every council seat on Newham council that should mean Momentum get to pick the next council leader after May's electionsmarke09 said:
Simon Harris
Verified account @simonharrisitv
2h2 hours ago
BREAKING: Internal Labour Party coup ousts veteran council leader Sir Robin Wales after 23 years in charge of Newham, east London. @itvlondon0 -
HYUFD said:
So Putin is definitely on his own then
Putin is a puppet. His inner circle do not believe he is that popular in Russia anymore; he is on borrowed time. The oppositions calls to boycott the election on Sunday is gaining ground and the Kremlin is playing the patriotic card to encourage to come out and vote.
Is turnout is not fairly decent, the elite will start asking questions about him.
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Zero hedge is the view from Russia rather than the view from the US.David_Evershed said:Another view from the USA
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-15/uk-manufacturing-its-nerve-agent-case-action-russia0 -
Newham is something like 70% non-white and so it was inevitable that a muslim mayor would be installed sooner or later. Let's hope it resists the slide into Tower Hamlets-ism. In the most ethnic minority dominated London neighbourhoods it is incredible how many posh white Labour councillors remain in place, largely because of different ethnic minority candidates being played off against each other. Sheer weight of numbers and Corbynisation means their days are now numbered though.Gardenwalker said:
Is this news? Only if you think Momentum and other far-left loons are behind it, which - see upthread - they seem not to be.marke09 said:
Simon Harris
Verified account @simonharrisitv
2h2 hours ago
BREAKING: Internal Labour Party coup ousts veteran council leader Sir Robin Wales after 23 years in charge of Newham, east London. @itvlondon
Perhaps people got fed up with him. Twenty-three years is a good innings.0 -
@paulwaugh: Exclusive: Brexit 'could be delayed' to get better deal for UK, MPs set to urge. Brexiteers on the cttee so furious… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/9746940927886540810
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Not that billionaire oligarchs are any more popular than Putin in Russia, in fact probably less so the more westernised and liberal they areDaniel said:HYUFD said:
So Putin is definitely on his own then
Putin is a puppet. His inner circle do not believe he is that popular in Russia anymore; he is on borrowed time. The oppositions calls to boycott the election on Sunday is gaining ground and the Kremlin is playing the patriotic card to encourage to come out and vote.
Is turnout is not fairly decent, the elite will start asking questions about him.0 -
The vast population disparity also makes the Russians very nervous. More than 100 million Chinese live fairly close to the Russian border. On the Russian side the population is sparse and shrinking. Vast quantities of natural resources for consumption in north east China such as timber are already routinely obtained from Russia.Daniel said:HYUFD said:
Not sure what threat China really poses to Russia? It is not really a Russia ally but nor is it a Russian for.MarqueeMark said:
I can never quite gauge where Sino-Russian relations fit in with Putin's thinking. Is he acting tough with the West to stop the big dragon in the East from getting any ideas?HYUFD said:
Only if Putin actually invades a Baltic State as the Austro Hungarians invaded Serbia and this time it was the Russians doing the assassination not facing an assassination as was the case with Archduke Franz Ferdinand.AlastairMeeks said:I wonder whether this is what June 1914 felt like:
https://twitter.com/patrickwintour/status/974675519831773190
Germany and Austria Hungary and the Ottoman Empire were also all in alliance at that point against the British Empire, Russia, France and Italy (later joined by the USA).
I cannot see what major powers are currently allied with Russia?
India is more concerned by China over Nepal
The Chinese are currently buying up land in Siberia, which is getting the local government rather nervous. There has been theories circling around the Russian Foreign Office about a "what if" scenario, in which China needs more energy to meet its demands - so grabs land in Siberia.
Plus, the European Union is China's biggest export market. Beijing will not want Russia upsetting their buyers, especially Western Europe.0 -
If Putin is the puppet, who’s the puppeteer?Daniel said:HYUFD said:
So Putin is definitely on his own then
Putin is a puppet. His inner circle do not believe he is that popular in Russia anymore; he is on borrowed time. The oppositions calls to boycott the election on Sunday is gaining ground and the Kremlin is playing the patriotic card to encourage to come out and vote.
Is turnout is not fairly decent, the elite will start asking questions about him.
0 -
at temperatures below around 8°C (17°F) an air-source heat pump can achieve a COP of 2.5 – below the magic 3 level at which carbon savings are realized.Nigelb said:
Indeed, but that again is going to be a multi decade project.SandyRentool said:
Decarbonising electricity generation is the easy bit. Doing the same for heating and transportation (not just cars) is a much tougher ask. The choices are electricity or hydrogen, and neither is a perfect fit for everything or indeed anything. As for aviation, battery-powered airships?Nigelb said:
These are interesting projects - the Dogger Bank wind farm will also provide around 5% of UK demand (and provide a hub to facilitate the construction of a new North Sea interconnect) - but they don't really help with the immediate gas supply problem.MarqueeMark said:FPT Elliott "Do you have a source?"
There's a huge amount of detail buried in here:
http://www.tidallagoonpower.com/
Bringing back a significant amount of gas storage would help in the shorter term (and will also have significant cost).
Longer term, 100% renewables are just about feasible by 2050, with a few hurdles to be overcome...
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2542435118300485?via=ihub
Air sourced heat pumps (air conditioning in reverse) are a pretty efficient way of providing heating (they supply around 3x the energy in the form of heat that they consume in electricity). Together with transport, there is, of course, likely to be a significant increase in total electric demand.
The good news is that once the infrastructure is in place, it will be comparatively cheap to run... and government can borrow very cheaply right now.
(And don't laugh about electric aircraft...they will just take a bit longer.
https://www.theengineer.co.uk/darpa-flies-scaled-down-electric-model-of-vtol-aircraft/ )
0 -
File under Russian sock puppet...rcs1000 said:
Zero hedge is the view from Russia rather than the view from the US.David_Evershed said:Another view from the USA
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-15/uk-manufacturing-its-nerve-agent-case-action-russia
Former Zero Hedge writer Colin Lokey said that he was pressured to frame issues in a way he felt was "disingenuous," summarizing its political stances as "Russia=good. Obama=idiot. Bashar al-Assad=benevolent leader. John Kerry=dunce. Vladimir Putin=greatest leader in the history of statecraft."
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zero_Hedge0 -
But it couldn't really have come in a worse week.Gardenwalker said:
Is this news? Only if you think Momentum and other far-left loons are behind it, which - see upthread - they seem not to be.marke09 said:
Simon Harris
Verified account @simonharrisitv
2h2 hours ago
BREAKING: Internal Labour Party coup ousts veteran council leader Sir Robin Wales after 23 years in charge of Newham, east London. @itvlondon
Perhaps people got fed up with him. Twenty-three years is a good innings.
There will be a lot of Labour centrists this weekend having a long, hard think whether they should stand up for one last effort - or acquiesce in the take-over of Labour by a faction that is seeing the party slide towards ridicule.0 -
So who are the puppetmasters? My impression was he'd done a good job of cutting serious rivals off at the knees.Daniel said:HYUFD said:
So Putin is definitely on his own then
Putin is a puppet. His inner circle do not believe he is that popular in Russia anymore; he is on borrowed time. The oppositions calls to boycott the election on Sunday is gaining ground and the Kremlin is playing the patriotic card to encourage to come out and vote.
Is turnout is not fairly decent, the elite will start asking questions about him.0 -
Perhaps they've just realised he's ScottishGardenwalker said:
Is this news? Only if you think Momentum and other far-left loons are behind it, which - see upthread - they seem not to be.marke09 said:
Simon Harris
Verified account @simonharrisitv
2h2 hours ago
BREAKING: Internal Labour Party coup ousts veteran council leader Sir Robin Wales after 23 years in charge of Newham, east London. @itvlondon
Perhaps people got fed up with him. Twenty-three years is a good innings.0 -
For once I dont think the Jews are going to get the blame for this one.....although it could be a double bluff...Casino_Royale said:
If Putin is the puppet, who’s the puppeteer?Daniel said:HYUFD said:
So Putin is definitely on his own then
Putin is a puppet. His inner circle do not believe he is that popular in Russia anymore; he is on borrowed time. The oppositions calls to boycott the election on Sunday is gaining ground and the Kremlin is playing the patriotic card to encourage to come out and vote.
Is turnout is not fairly decent, the elite will start asking questions about him.0 -
Jeremy Corbyn.Casino_Royale said:
If Putin is the puppet, who’s the puppeteer?Daniel said:HYUFD said:
So Putin is definitely on his own then
Putin is a puppet. His inner circle do not believe he is that popular in Russia anymore; he is on borrowed time. The oppositions calls to boycott the election on Sunday is gaining ground and the Kremlin is playing the patriotic card to encourage to come out and vote.
Is turnout is not fairly decent, the elite will start asking questions about him.0 -
Mr. 1000, Corbyn wasn't taking Putin's line, Putin was taking Corbyn's!
*gasp!*0 -
I'm sure Galloway/Livingstone and their fellow travellers will find a way.FrancisUrquhart said:
For once I dont think the Jews are going to get the blame for this one.....although it could be a double bluff...
0 -
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Isn't it called a transition agreement?Scott_P said:0 -
Time to resign the Whip and sit as independent Labour.MarqueeMark said:
But it couldn't really have come in a worse week.Gardenwalker said:
Is this news? Only if you think Momentum and other far-left loons are behind it, which - see upthread - they seem not to be.marke09 said:
Simon Harris
Verified account @simonharrisitv
2h2 hours ago
BREAKING: Internal Labour Party coup ousts veteran council leader Sir Robin Wales after 23 years in charge of Newham, east London. @itvlondon
Perhaps people got fed up with him. Twenty-three years is a good innings.
There will be a lot of Labour centrists this weekend having a long, hard think whether they should stand up for one last effort - or acquiesce in the take-over of Labour by a faction that is seeing the party slide towards ridicule.0 -
I have the slight suspicion that Jezza's hand rummaging around Putin's rectum might well attract the attention of various anti gay laws in Russia.rcs1000 said:
Jeremy Corbyn.Casino_Royale said:
If Putin is the puppet, who’s the puppeteer?Daniel said:HYUFD said:
So Putin is definitely on his own then
Putin is a puppet. His inner circle do not believe he is that popular in Russia anymore; he is on borrowed time. The oppositions calls to boycott the election on Sunday is gaining ground and the Kremlin is playing the patriotic card to encourage to come out and vote.
Is turnout is not fairly decent, the elite will start asking questions about him.0 -
It's back to the 1930s when a lot of British intellectuals visited the Soviet Union and declared it to be the closest thing to paradise on earth.Scott_P said:0 -
mandy rhodes - @holyroodmandy: Scottish Police Authority (SPA) board member Dr Nicola Marchant has resigned from the board. How many more? Good governance is vital.0
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??? Surely the carbon savings largely depend on how the electricity is generated?sarissa said:
at temperatures below around 8°C (17°F) an air-source heat pump can achieve a COP of 2.5 – below the magic 3 level at which carbon savings are realized.Nigelb said:
Indeed, but that again is going to be a multi decade project.SandyRentool said:
Decarbonising electricity generation is the easy bit. Doing the same for heating and transportation (not just cars) is a much tougher ask. The choices are electricity or hydrogen, and neither is a perfect fit for everything or indeed anything. As for aviation, battery-powered airships?Nigelb said:
These are interesting projects - the Dogger Bank wind farm will also provide around 5% of UK demand (and provide a hub to facilitate the construction of a new North Sea interconnect) - but they don't really help with the immediate gas supply problem.MarqueeMark said:FPT Elliott "Do you have a source?"
There's a huge amount of detail buried in here:
http://www.tidallagoonpower.com/
Bringing back a significant amount of gas storage would help in the shorter term (and will also have significant cost).
Longer term, 100% renewables are just about feasible by 2050, with a few hurdles to be overcome...
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2542435118300485?via=ihub
Air sourced heat pumps (air conditioning in reverse) are a pretty efficient way of providing heating (they supply around 3x the energy in the form of heat that they consume in electricity). Together with transport, there is, of course, likely to be a significant increase in total electric demand.
The good news is that once the infrastructure is in place, it will be comparatively cheap to run... and government can borrow very cheaply right now.
(And don't laugh about electric aircraft...they will just take a bit longer.
https://www.theengineer.co.uk/darpa-flies-scaled-down-electric-model-of-vtol-aircraft/ )
We had the choice of oil or air-source heat-pump heating when we bought and modernised an old house 8 years ago - very glad we took the latter option, works wonderfully well.0 -
Never going to happen. Why would it? On domestic issues they seem pretty united now, at least compared to recent years, and resigned to Corbyn's leadership, are they really so exercised by foreign affairs that that will finally push them over the edge?rottenborough said:
Time to resign the Whip and sit as independent Labour.MarqueeMark said:
But it couldn't really have come in a worse week.Gardenwalker said:
Is this news? Only if you think Momentum and other far-left loons are behind it, which - see upthread - they seem not to be.marke09 said:
Simon Harris
Verified account @simonharrisitv
2h2 hours ago
BREAKING: Internal Labour Party coup ousts veteran council leader Sir Robin Wales after 23 years in charge of Newham, east London. @itvlondon
Perhaps people got fed up with him. Twenty-three years is a good innings.
There will be a lot of Labour centrists this weekend having a long, hard think whether they should stand up for one last effort - or acquiesce in the take-over of Labour by a faction that is seeing the party slide towards ridicule.0 -
They're looking to replace the transition with a retraction of Article 50. Formally the idea is we can carry on negotiations without the time pressures, which in isolation makes sense (there's not a chance everything will be wrapped up by 2020, or even 2022). That assumes everyone has honest intentions.......RobD said:
Isn't it called a transition agreement?
Of course, the real intent is to play for time until a scenario arises where a 2nd referendum can be called - perhaps under Corbyn's successor.
0 -
That all depends on whether they think universal human rights are a bedrock of progress or something to be ignored for short term partisan advantage.kle4 said:
Never going to happen. Why would it? On domestic issues they seem pretty united now, at least compared to recent years, and resigned to Corbyn's leadership, are they really so exercised by foreign affairs that that will finally push them over the edge?rottenborough said:
Time to resign the Whip and sit as independent Labour.MarqueeMark said:
But it couldn't really have come in a worse week.Gardenwalker said:
Is this news? Only if you think Momentum and other far-left loons are behind it, which - see upthread - they seem not to be.marke09 said:
Simon Harris
Verified account @simonharrisitv
2h2 hours ago
BREAKING: Internal Labour Party coup ousts veteran council leader Sir Robin Wales after 23 years in charge of Newham, east London. @itvlondon
Perhaps people got fed up with him. Twenty-three years is a good innings.
There will be a lot of Labour centrists this weekend having a long, hard think whether they should stand up for one last effort - or acquiesce in the take-over of Labour by a faction that is seeing the party slide towards ridicule.0 -
Oddly, the people who are keenest on this line were only too happy to shelter behind xenophobic lies for short term partisan advantage.Elliot said:
That all depends on whether they think universal human rights are a bedrock of progress or something to be ignored for short term partisan advantage.kle4 said:
Never going to happen. Why would it? On domestic issues they seem pretty united now, at least compared to recent years, and resigned to Corbyn's leadership, are they really so exercised by foreign affairs that that will finally push them over the edge?rottenborough said:
Time to resign the Whip and sit as independent Labour.MarqueeMark said:
But it couldn't really have come in a worse week.Gardenwalker said:
Is this news? Only if you think Momentum and other far-left loons are behind it, which - see upthread - they seem not to be.marke09 said:
Simon Harris
Verified account @simonharrisitv
2h2 hours ago
BREAKING: Internal Labour Party coup ousts veteran council leader Sir Robin Wales after 23 years in charge of Newham, east London. @itvlondon
Perhaps people got fed up with him. Twenty-three years is a good innings.
There will be a lot of Labour centrists this weekend having a long, hard think whether they should stand up for one last effort - or acquiesce in the take-over of Labour by a faction that is seeing the party slide towards ridicule.
0 -
Foreign affairs are no longer foreign affairs when they happen in Salisbury.kle4 said:
Never going to happen. Why would it? On domestic issues they seem pretty united now, at least compared to recent years, and resigned to Corbyn's leadership, are they really so exercised by foreign affairs that that will finally push them over the edge?rottenborough said:
Time to resign the Whip and sit as independent Labour.MarqueeMark said:
But it couldn't really have come in a worse week.Gardenwalker said:
Is this news? Only if you think Momentum and other far-left loons are behind it, which - see upthread - they seem not to be.marke09 said:
Simon Harris
Verified account @simonharrisitv
2h2 hours ago
BREAKING: Internal Labour Party coup ousts veteran council leader Sir Robin Wales after 23 years in charge of Newham, east London. @itvlondon
Perhaps people got fed up with him. Twenty-three years is a good innings.
There will be a lot of Labour centrists this weekend having a long, hard think whether they should stand up for one last effort - or acquiesce in the take-over of Labour by a faction that is seeing the party slide towards ridicule.0 -
Is anyone surprised?FrancisUrquhart said:
File under Russian sock puppet...rcs1000 said:
Zero hedge is the view from Russia rather than the view from the US.David_Evershed said:Another view from the USA
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-15/uk-manufacturing-its-nerve-agent-case-action-russia
Former Zero Hedge writer Colin Lokey said that he was pressured to frame issues in a way he felt was "disingenuous," summarizing its political stances as "Russia=good. Obama=idiot. Bashar al-Assad=benevolent leader. John Kerry=dunce. Vladimir Putin=greatest leader in the history of statecraft."
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zero_Hedge0 -
I'm not sure I follow.AlastairMeeks said:
Oddly, the people who are keenest on this line were only too happy to shelter behind xenophobic lies for short term partisan advantage.Elliot said:
That all depends on whether they think universal human rights are a bedrock of progress or something to be ignored for short term partisan advantage.kle4 said:
Never going to happen. Why would it? On domestic issues they seem pretty united now, at least compared to recent years, and resigned to Corbyn's leadership, are they really so exercised by foreign affairs that that will finally push them over the edge?rottenborough said:
Time to resign the Whip and sit as independent Labour.MarqueeMark said:
But it couldn't really have come in a worse week.Gardenwalker said:
Is this news? Only if you think Momentum and other far-left loons are behind it, which - see upthread - they seem not to be.marke09 said:
Simon Harris
Verified account @simonharrisitv
2h2 hours ago
BREAKING: Internal Labour Party coup ousts veteran council leader Sir Robin Wales after 23 years in charge of Newham, east London. @itvlondon
Perhaps people got fed up with him. Twenty-three years is a good innings.
There will be a lot of Labour centrists this weekend having a long, hard think whether they should stand up for one last effort - or acquiesce in the take-over of Labour by a faction that is seeing the party slide towards ridicule.0 -
This week has demonstrated that when there is a major threat to national security, a PM Corbyn would side with those he has always supported. In this case Russia.Ishmael_Z said:
Foreign affairs are no longer foreign affairs when they happen in Salisbury.kle4 said:
Never going to happen. Why would it? On domestic issues they seem pretty united now, at least compared to recent years, and resigned to Corbyn's leadership, are they really so exercised by foreign affairs that that will finally push them over the edge?rottenborough said:
Time to resign the Whip and sit as independent Labour.MarqueeMark said:
But it couldn't really have come in a worse week.Gardenwalker said:
Is this news? Only if you think Momentum and other far-left loons are behind it, which - see upthread - they seem not to be.marke09 said:
Simon Harris
Verified account @simonharrisitv
2h2 hours ago
BREAKING: Internal Labour Party coup ousts veteran council leader Sir Robin Wales after 23 years in charge of Newham, east London. @itvlondon
Perhaps people got fed up with him. Twenty-three years is a good innings.
There will be a lot of Labour centrists this weekend having a long, hard think whether they should stand up for one last effort - or acquiesce in the take-over of Labour by a faction that is seeing the party slide towards ridicule.
It is beyond me why he is so in favour of Russia, which is essentially returning to a Czarist state just without the hereditary bit (unless Putin has kids?).0 -
Short term partisan advantage can lead people of all political stripes to do some pretty disgusting things. Acknowledging that might at least lead some to recognise that climbing on a high horse about opponents' perceived failings is not very edifying.Elliot said:
I'm not sure I follow.AlastairMeeks said:
Oddly, the people who are keenest on this line were only too happy to shelter behind xenophobic lies for short term partisan advantage.Elliot said:
That all depends on whether they think universal human rights are a bedrock of progress or something to be ignored for short term partisan advantage.kle4 said:
Never going to happen. Why would it? On domestic issues they seem pretty united now, at least compared to recent years, and resigned to Corbyn's leadership, are they really so exercised by foreign affairs that that will finally push them over the edge?rottenborough said:
Time to resign the Whip and sit as independent Labour.MarqueeMark said:
But it couldn't really have come in a worse week.Gardenwalker said:
Is this news? Only if you think Momentum and other far-left loons are behind it, which - see upthread - they seem not to be.marke09 said:
Simon Harris
Verified account @simonharrisitv
2h2 hours ago
BREAKING: Internal Labour Party coup ousts veteran council leader Sir Robin Wales after 23 years in charge of Newham, east London. @itvlondon
Perhaps people got fed up with him. Twenty-three years is a good innings.
There will be a lot of Labour centrists this weekend having a long, hard think whether they should stand up for one last effort - or acquiesce in the take-over of Labour by a faction that is seeing the party slide towards ridicule.0 -
Or in the back of the head.Ishmael_Z said:
So who are the puppetmasters? My impression was he'd done a good job of cutting serious rivals off at the knees.Daniel said:HYUFD said:
So Putin is definitely on his own then
Putin is a puppet. His inner circle do not believe he is that popular in Russia anymore; he is on borrowed time. The oppositions calls to boycott the election on Sunday is gaining ground and the Kremlin is playing the patriotic card to encourage to come out and vote.
Is turnout is not fairly decent, the elite will start asking questions about him.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assassination_of_Boris_Nemtsov0 -
Yes, it can. And then there are people of all political stripes who hold true to their principles, changing their vote if their own party abandons them.AlastairMeeks said:
Short term partisan advantage can lead people of all political stripes to do some pretty disgusting things. Acknowledging that might at least lead some to recognise that climbing on a high horse about opponents' perceived failings is not very edifying.Elliot said:
I'm not sure I follow.AlastairMeeks said:
Oddly, the people who are keenest on this line were only too happy to shelter behind xenophobic lies for short term partisan advantage.Elliot said:
That all depends on whether they think universal human rights are a bedrock of progress or something to be ignored for short term partisan advantage.kle4 said:
Never going to happen. Why would it? On domestic issues they seem pretty united now, at least compared to recent years, and resigned to Corbyn's leadership, are they really so exercised by foreign affairs that that will finally push them over the edge?rottenborough said:
Time to resign the Whip and sit as independent Labour.MarqueeMark said:
But it couldn't really have come in a worse week.Gardenwalker said:
Is this news? Only if you think Momentum and other far-left loons are behind it, which - see upthread - they seem not to be.marke09 said:
Simon Harris
Verified account @simonharrisitv
2h2 hours ago
BREAKING: Internal Labour Party coup ousts veteran council leader Sir Robin Wales after 23 years in charge of Newham, east London. @itvlondon
Perhaps people got fed up with him. Twenty-three years is a good innings.
There will be a lot of Labour centrists this weekend having a long, hard think whether they should stand up for one last effort - or acquiesce in the take-over of Labour by a faction that is seeing the party slide towards ridicule.0 -
This is just die-hard Remainers wanting to delay Brexit, in the hope that something comes up that gives them the excuse to halt it.Scott_P said:
They can shove it.0 -
The journalism in that article is also pretty shoddy. There is no question of a GDP “drop” of over 7% by 2030. There is a question that GDP growth might be slower leading to an economy being 7% smaller by 2030 than it otherwise might have been - although even that relies on all sorts of assumptions, some of which are pessimistic.RoyalBlue said:
This is just die-hard Remainers wanting to delay Brexit, in the hope that something comes up that gives them the excuse to halt it.Scott_P said:
They can shove it.
But, most journalists are slow, sloppy and lazy, so no surprises there.0 -
This discussion has been closed.