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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Latest Brexit trackers from ORB find declining approval of the way TMay’s government is handling Brexit
The numbers are broadly in line with what other pollsters have been finding. Last week YouGov found 55% saying they thought the process was going badly with 25% saying well.
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Add to that the reports that are coming from the EU side about how Mrs May and her team of buffoons are conducting themselves, there is enough evidence available for the public to make up their own minds.
And the Conservatives are stuck with this for the next four and a half years - unless they cut and run again.
Not much to be excited about in the graphs. They're mostly as you were.
Is there a name for continually thinking the European project, and its gradual erosion of nation state democracies, will turn out ok?
Control is not the same as reduce.
I want control but I do not necessarily want reduction.
They shot themselves in the foot there, imo.
The biggest issues are (1) the dispute resolution mechanism, (2) regulatory equivalence in services. Neither of these impact the border in Ireland.
Edited extra bit: hmm, surprisingly less overlap than I thought there might be, actually.
Got some early bets in mind for Spa, but the markets won't awaken for another fortnight, alas.
I can see the very wealthy (contribution versus dedication, for those who remember the New Testament from school) being content to part with a sliver of their enormo-wealth, but those on low/middling incomes are perhaps less likely to approve of their own taxes increasing.
The second graph may change dramatically if the PM changes.
Switzerland may not have a hard border with EC but it is a pain to ship to them. It costs £70 to send a pallet to South France and £120 to Switzerland due to border and customs. I cannot get a next day box to Switzerland for less than £120 or so and they still get held up every couple of months. Today Fedex asked for more description of 3,000 Galipots. These are small plastic pots worth 2p each.
One of my customers sits on Ni/ Eire border. His thought is to have 2 warehouses one on each side of border and say the goods are made where it is better to say they are made. Sounds as good a solution as I have heard so far but is this really the way to run an economy?
The Port of Cork is also a pretty efficient container port.
There are also established rules for transhipment of sealed containers, that mean that lorries from Ireland could cross the UK seamlessly.
Still, there would clearly be time and cost issues.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/may/24/venezuela-crisis-basic-food-shortages
The murder rate has also hugely increased. And employment has declined. And the government is on an express train to dictatorship.
But Corbyn can't even bring himself to condemn a regime that locks up opposition leaders and rigs votes to give itself more power. Because it's socialist.
"effective and serious attempts at reducing poverty in Venezuela"....
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/venezuela-unprecedented-economic-collapse-by-ricardo-hausmann-2017-07?referrer=/nvBcqfkklA
...Income poverty increased from 48% in 2014 to 82% in 2016, according to a survey conducted by Venezuela’s three most prestigious universities. The same study found that 74% of Venezuelans involuntarily lost an average of 8.6 kilos (19 pounds) in weight. The Venezuelan Health Observatory reports a ten-fold increase in in-patient mortality and a 100-fold increase in the death of newborns in hospitals in 2016. And yet President Nicolás Maduro’s government has repeatedly turned down offers of humanitarian assistance….
(Though, admittedly, cricket is perhaps more Homer's Odyssey rather than your Japanese Haiku...)
Do they play on corrugated iron at Scarborough these days?
OK, I have my coat.
However, shall we say politely that our number five is about as much use as a Conservative election pledge? I don't think the current team is 'working.'
Here's a controversial suggestion - Adil Rashid would score more runs than Dawid Malan. Discuss.
Agreed that the pitch must have been quite bowler friendly, though - and coming straight out of the one day tournament, batsmen' minds might not have been in the right place.
It's two of the other three I'm worried about.
Talking of selectors:
Haseeb Hameed not out 57
Alex Hales 218 for Notts.
And don't get me going on Dawson, please.
And with that, I must be off.
I think it's also rather unfair to suggest he doesn't do charity work as well. He may do it on the quiet but it's not the less effective for that.
Have to say though I could see a compelling case for trying Hales at three. While his earlier career has resembled Hick's in the wrong way, he has the potential to emulate the Hick who briefly looked the real deal as a Test number three in the mid 90s.
Cheerio.
Or maybe the groundsman changed.
Indeed, if I had not died before my time, I will have seen completed the synergistic link between canal and rail, the precursor of the modern age on which our very society relies!
(Yes, it is all My fault).
Medieval English was splendidly terse and to the point.
It's not difficult really.
Oh yes....drop Bayliss. That's essential.
Every major city had its GropeCunt Street.
When TM blew the election I thought we really was in the sh*t but it seems the ship has been steadied and negotiations appear to have gone well so far.
The vexed issue of England's opening partner for Cook is a good illustration. His Essex number two, Nick Browne, was in sensational form but if he had been picked for Old Trafford instead of the chronically out of form Jennings (who was actually out of form when picked for the first Test, but no matter) he would have been playing his first long-form game for a month. He may well have been out of form by then. Who knows?
Don't know what the answer to that is, but picking out-of-form players sure isn't it.
Rarely has the gulf in our education and cultures been more sorely highlighted.
(*) Although the book has a slightly different title.
http://www.espncricinfo.com/series/8052/scorecard/1068554/Essex-vs-Middlesex--Specsavers-County-Championship-Division-One
Observe the double century scored by the opener, Nick Browne. OK it was a pretty decent track but the seam attack of Finn and Roland-Jones isn't exactly sub-standard, and Essex did manage to bowl out Middlesex twice in two days on the same strip, so it wasn't exactly soporific.
So now pretend you are Selector Bayliss and tell me why you picked Toblerone (look at his figures for the match) for the next Test, and stayed loyal to Jennings rather than pick Browne or any of the other in-form openers.
Take your time.