politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New YouGov Scottish IndyRef poll finds YES with 24pc lead

Comments

• Charles Posts: 35,758

  October 2013

  First.
  
  Nah.
  
  Next!

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• dr_spyn Posts: 11,338

  October 2013

  Give me independence or give me sex...
  
  Lie back and think of Scotland.

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• Charles Posts: 35,758

  October 2013

  The "nah" comment refers to your headline that "YES" has a 24% lead.
  
  On reading the detail it looks like "NO" has a 24% lead.
  
  That's much more plausible.

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• Slackbladder Posts: 9,818

  October 2013

  If 'YES' to independence had a 24% lead that would be something!!

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• RobD Posts: 60,705

  October 2013

  Did a big double take with that title. LOL

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• Ricardohos Posts: 258

  October 2013

  Mike ... er? You've tweeted 'NO' but your thread header has 'YES'. Erm ...

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• JosiasJessop Posts: 47,035

  October 2013

  Does OGH want to kill off all the posters in favour of independence? They're only used to dark winters, links golf and vampire midges. Their poor hearts cannot take this sort of excitement ...
  
  As another poster might say: NURSE!

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• Quincel Posts: 4,042

  October 2013

  I see I'm not the only one recovering from a minor heart attack having seen the thread header. No need to go overboard with you Halloween scare Mike!

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• RobD Posts: 60,705

  October 2013

  The poll data says this survey was from September? Why the delay in publishing I wonder.

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• TGOHF Posts: 21,633

  October 2013

  Cheers Ptp ! Horsted K romps it

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• dr_spyn Posts: 11,338

  October 2013 edited October 2013

  Guido has a story which might amuse the tin foil hat brigade. Might win a game of listen in bingo.

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• Slackbladder Posts: 9,818

  October 2013

  tim said:

  Twitterquake

  Wow indeed.....

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• MikeSmithson Posts: 7,382

  October 2013

  The headline has been corrected.
  
  Thank you for all those who spotted it

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• MikeSmithson Posts: 7,382

  October 2013 edited October 2013

  x

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• Pulpstar Posts: 80,099

  October 2013

  Oh my Oh MY OH MY !

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• TheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,756

  October 2013

  This yet another Times poll not covered on their website or their iPad edition.
  
  Grrrrr

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• MikeK Posts: 9,053

  October 2013

  For the Attention of Peter the Punter.
  
  http://www.politico.com/story/2013/10/poll-hillary-clinton-approval-sinks-99162.html?hp=r3

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• SouthamObserver Posts: 40,054

  October 2013

  I knew that.

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• TheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,756

  October 2013

  So that's a 4% increase in the lead in a month for no.
  
  When will the separatist surge happen ?

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• TheWatcher Posts: 5,262

  October 2013

  An open secret.

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• RobD Posts: 60,705

  October 2013

  TheScreamingEagles said:

  So that's a 4% increase in the lead in a month for no.
  
  When will the separatist surge happen ?

  Check the fieldwork dates though, it is already a month old.

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• TGOHF Posts: 21,633

  October 2013

  tim said:

  Next PM market.
  
  T.May 12/1, what do we think?

  2020 is a long time to wait to collect.

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• TheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,756

  October 2013

  RobD said:

  TheScreamingEagles said:

  So that's a 4% increase in the lead in a month for no.
  
  When will the separatist surge happen ?

  Check the fieldwork dates though, it is already a month old.

  Cheers.
  
  

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• CarlottaVance Posts: 60,422

  October 2013

  "Sixty migrants have left the UK following the pilot of a campaign that included vans with the message "go home or face arrest," the Home Office said."
  
  http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-24755547

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• Theuniondivvie Posts: 45,159

  October 2013

  Afaics This Yougov was Sep16th, previous was August 22nd- Yes up 3% No down 7% and DKs up 3% in 4 weeks..
  
  I'm not sure what the motive is in releasing data weeks or even months (eg Ashcroft) after question is asked, particularly if they're using the 'if there was a referendum tomorrow' formula.

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• AndrewStuart Posts: 16

  October 2013

  MikeSmithson said:

  The headline has been corrected.
  
  Thank you for all those who spotted it

  It's also not new Mike. It was reoported in the Times last month as 20 point gap:
  
  http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/uk/scotland/article3872017.ece
  
  And Polling report did it here on 18th September:
  
  http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/date/2013/09/page/3
  
  The SNP released on its powers questions on 20th September http://www.snp.org/media-centre/news/2013/sep/poll-scotland-wants-powers-only-yes-can-deliver
  
  This is the latest polling on independence if you are keen on doing a post about Scottish independence poll figures:
  
  http://www.panelbase.com/news/index.html

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• MarkSenior Posts: 4,699

  October 2013

  RobD said:

  TheScreamingEagles said:

  So that's a 4% increase in the lead in a month for no.
  
  When will the separatist surge happen ?

  Check the fieldwork dates though, it is already a month old.

  True , No may be 30% ahead now . I fear we may have to put some of our separatist posters on suicide watch if the end result is in this ballpark .

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• Sean_F Posts: 39,537

  October 2013

  Why is there such a big gender gap?
  
  There are fairly persistent gender gaps in British polling. Women are rather more likely than men to believe in God, to oppose the use of force in international affairs, to favour greater restrictions on abortion, to be Eurosceptic, to be sympathetic to homosexuality, but these all seem to cancel each other out, so that there is no significant gender gap in terms of voting intention.
  
  What makes women so pro-Union, compared to men?

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• Theuniondivvie Posts: 45,159

  October 2013

  MarkSenior said:

  RobD said:

  TheScreamingEagles said:

  So that's a 4% increase in the lead in a month for no.
  
  When will the separatist surge happen ?

  Check the fieldwork dates though, it is already a month old.

  True , No may be 30% ahead now . I fear we may have to put some of our separatist posters on suicide watch if the end result is in this ballpark .

  We'll take our lead from Scottish LDs' stiff upper lips as they gaze into the abyss.
  
  

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• MikeSmithson Posts: 7,382

  October 2013

  CORRECTION This poll was carried out in September and published on the YouGov website this afternoon
  
  New thread

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• TheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,756

  October 2013

  New thread.

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• Life_ina_market_town Posts: 2,319

  October 2013 edited October 2013

  deleted

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• SouthCoastKevin Posts: 158

  October 2013

  I don't have a strong view either way on whether Scotland should go independent, but it seems to me the argument for 'No' has been much more coherent. Several times (ISTM...) the 'Yes' camp has made claims which have dissolved under just a bit of scrutiny - like the stuff about joining the European Union, what currency an independent Scotland would use, and so on.
  
  I'm certainly not opposed to Scotland becoming independent if that's what they want, but the Yes campaign needs to confront the issues and questions raised by the No-ers, rather than trying to sweep them under the carpet.

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• Theuniondivvie Posts: 45,159

  October 2013

  AndrewStuart said:

  MikeSmithson said:

  The headline has been corrected.
  
  Thank you for all those who spotted it

  It's also not new Mike. It was reoported in the Times last month as 20 point gap:
  
  http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/uk/scotland/article3872017.ece
  
  And Polling report did it here on 18th September:
  
  http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/date/2013/09/page/3
  
  The SNP released on its powers questions on 20th September http://www.snp.org/media-centre/news/2013/sep/poll-scotland-wants-powers-only-yes-can-deliver
  
  This is the latest polling on independence if you are keen on doing a post about Scottish independence poll figures:
  
  http://www.panelbase.com/news/index.html

  
  Lol, so 'CORRECTION: Old YouGov Scottish IndyRef poll finds NO with 24pc lead. CORRECTION: New YouGov Scottish IndyRef poll finds NO with 24pc lead'
  

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