politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Not surprisingly YouGov finds that on EU people trust thos

YouGov chart showing "trust on EU matters" from latest poll pic.twitter.com/vsB8AD8fHN
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First?0
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Broken, sleazy Trust on the slide.0
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Third like Spurs come Sunday night.0
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It seems strange that Obama's intervention hasn't helped Remain then, given that he is the least distrusted among DKs and SVs. Perhaps a good omen for the future though, when they stand in the polling booth and reflect on what they've heard.0
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Well the PM's ratings look grand, don't they?0
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7th, way better than the UK at Eurovision...0
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Armenian lass has no face furniture. For those keeping count...0
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Nobody looking at her faceMarqueeMark said:Armenian lass has no face furniture. For those keeping count...
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Remain better get Cameron out of the debate sharpish. Only Blair could challenge him in untrustworthiness.0
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Cameron's legacy: The Boy Who Cried Wolf....0
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I wonder if the other Eurovision countries will throw some charity points our way this year, to try and convince us to Remain. Or is it wishful thinking?0
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You think Europeans are that shallow?Danny565 said:I wonder if the other Eurovision countries will throw some charity points our way this year, to try and convince us to Remain. Or is it wishful thinking?
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The Times
Daniel Finkelstein: "The most reliable polls are at the end of a phone"0 -
In 1975 we had the great and the good lined up on one side and the "nutters" (Benn, Shore, Powell etc.) on the other. The choice was obvious, except it turned out that the "nutters" were correct and the great and the good were lying through their teeth.
Blair took us into a war based on a completely false prospectus. Lots of people believed him because they could not even contemplate the idea that a British PM would mislead Parliament on such an important issue. He did though. Then he did it again in 2006, when he committed an inadequate number of inadequately equipped troops to do a job that was never properly stated.
Frankly, anyone who believes a word any politician says is a bloody fool.0 -
Elsewhere Cameron has barely 1 in 10 Labour voters (2015) trusting what he has to say on Europe. He is hurting the image of REMAIN and split the Conservatives. One of the most politically inept decisions. If only he had followed the example of Harold Wilson.rcs1000 said:
It's a genuinely remarkable figure: -34, even by people on his own side.runnymede said:Well the PM's ratings look grand, don't they?
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Disappointing there are no ratings for the near perfect Chancellor.0
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Amen.HurstLlama said:In 1975 we had the great and the good lined up on one side and the "nutters" (Benn, Shore, Powell etc.) on the other. The choice was obvious, except it turned out that the "nutters" were correct and the great and the good were lying through their teeth.
Blair took us into a war based on a completely false prospectus. Lots of people believed him because they could not even contemplate the idea that a British PM would mislead Parliament on such an important issue. He did though. Then he did it again in 2006, when he committed an inadequate number of inadequately equipped troops to do a job that was never properly stated.
Frankly, anyone who believes a word any politician says is a bloody fool.0 -
Tish and pish, Mr Betting, surely you know that, according to some on here, Cameron is one of the greatest post-war PMs and his mate Osborne is a near perfect chancellor..TCPoliticalBetting said:
Elsewhere Cameron has barely 1 in 10 Labour voters (2015) trusting what he has to say on Europe. He is hurting the image of REMAIN and split the Conservatives. One of the most politically inept decisions. If only he had followed the example of Harold Wilson.rcs1000 said:
It's a genuinely remarkable figure: -34, even by people on his own side.runnymede said:Well the PM's ratings look grand, don't they?
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Hillaromics 101 - "Women are the main driver of the American economy because we are a 70% consumption economy and most purchases are made by women."
https://twitter.com/HillaryClinton/status/7301092550810705920 -
That would be close to -100. His ratings from Con members are at an all time low....GideonWise said:Disappointing there are no ratings for the near perfect Chancellor.
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Do you think many will dk right up to the point they stand in the booth? I'd imagine most in that position just wouldn't bother.FeersumEnjineeya said:It seems strange that Obama's intervention hasn't helped Remain then, given that he is the least distrusted among DKs and SVs. Perhaps a good omen for the future though, when they stand in the polling booth and reflect on what they've heard.
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Good evening.
Seems to me it's Mr Cameron's dismissive comment about Leavers (some time ago now) coming back to bite him. It was something like "Fruitcakes, loonies & nutters", wasn't it? And, to my amazement, that's how he's now coming over himself.
Is that what's called Karma?0 -
With a few notable exceptions.TCPoliticalBetting said:
That would be close to -100. His ratings from Con members are at an all time low....GideonWise said:Disappointing there are no ratings for the near perfect Chancellor.
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So the one who commands the highest trust within any group is a Remainer - Barack Obama. As his expressed reasons for remaining are identical to Cameron's, one can only conclude that the latter's poor showing is the result of PM-in-Office pangs, nothing more significant. It also demonstrates that Obama's stardust still has significant potency. And there were those claiming that his intervention was misjudged.0
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I'm amazed that David Cameron is dead last at -47, he is at -34 with Remainers even if he is leading the Remain campaign.0
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Theresa May trying to appeal to both sides - and failing twice over.
Next PM? - good luck with that!0 -
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How is
NicolaElsie going to spin this one?Police Scotland has cancelled a £12 million procurement exercise for a computer system to manage its control rooms in another IT setback for the force.
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/scotland/call-centre-fears-after-police-cancel-it-fix-2dts6lhng
Procurement of a new system for the C3 division, which includes handling of emergency calls, has been put on hold despite it being described as “mission critical”.0 -
Well, maybe not up to that point and, sure, many won't bother, but Obama's relatively good standing among the DKs is perhaps the biggest surprise in the poll and has got to be a good indicator for Remain.Luckyguy1983 said:
Do you think many will dk right up to the point they stand in the booth? I'd imagine most in that position just wouldn't bother.FeersumEnjineeya said:It seems strange that Obama's intervention hasn't helped Remain then, given that he is the least distrusted among DKs and SVs. Perhaps a good omen for the future though, when they stand in the polling booth and reflect on what they've heard.
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We are entitled to the facts rather than emotion and economic truth-1
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I'd have thought the most useful deductions are for Leave. Given their appalling ratings with Remain voters, don't knows and swing voters, Nigel Farage and Michael Gove need to be kidnapped until 24 June.
Remain need to get some moderate Labour voices heard. Pushing Alan Johnson forward today looks like a good idea.0 -
'Now the U.S. has been inundated with PC inquisitors, and PC poison is spreading worldwide in the Anglo zone.
For these reasons it’s good news that Donald Trump is doing so well in the American political primaries. He is vulgar, abusive, nasty, rude, boorish and outrageous. He is also saying what he thinks and, more important, teaching Americans how to think for themselves again.'
http://www.forbes.com/sites/currentevents/2016/03/23/when-excess-is-a-virtue/#5962ae8f34b50 -
I
In large part it's influenced by how much people agree with him in general.Speedy said:I'm amazed that David Cameron is dead last at -47, he is at -34 with Remainers even if he is leading the Remain campaign.
But he's really pulled of a special trick by turning vast swathes of his own voters against him without getting any from the other side to balance against it.0 -
Pointless anecdote alert: at dinner tonight there was a man a couple of tables away who was the spitting image of @NickPalmer. Unless it was Dr Palmer himself.0
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Was he eating meat ?ThreeQuidder said:Pointless anecdote alert: at dinner tonight there was a man a couple of tables away who was the spitting image of @NickPalmer. Unless it was Dr Palmer himself.
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MM - I don't know if this is what you were referring to, but the Daily Mash agree with you:MarqueeMark said:Cameron's legacy: The Boy Who Cried Wolf....
http://www.thedailymash.co.uk/politics/politics-headlines/massive-wolf-coming-to-eat-all-our-sheep-warns-cameron-20160510108723
Seriously, though, this is why Cameron is distrusted on this even by hos own side: he has come out with such over-the-top claptrap that he has just become ridiculous.0 -
Golly, Cameron's figures are awful with swing voters.0
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Agreed. Obama's secondment is starting to look like a Remain master-stroke. Leave, of course, have massive advantages with the euro-phobic British press barons singing their tune, but the Pres's intervention cuts through all that with a cool sense of resonance and objectivity.FeersumEnjineeya said:
Well, maybe not up to that point and, sure, many won't bother, but Obama's relatively good standing among the DKs is perhaps the biggest surprise in the poll and has got to be a good indicator for Remain.Luckyguy1983 said:
Do you think many will dk right up to the point they stand in the booth? I'd imagine most in that position just wouldn't bother.FeersumEnjineeya said:It seems strange that Obama's intervention hasn't helped Remain then, given that he is the least distrusted among DKs and SVs. Perhaps a good omen for the future though, when they stand in the polling booth and reflect on what they've heard.
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Yes, he'd make a fine shadow Chancellor as wellAlastairMeeks said:I'd have thought the most useful deductions are for Leave. Given their appalling ratings with Remain voters, don't knows and swing voters, Nigel Farage and Michael Gove need to be kidnapped until 24 June.
Remain need to get some moderate Labour voices heard. Pushing Alan Johnson forward today looks like a good idea.0 -
I'm not expecting the extremists to understand.runnymede said:
Yes, he'd make a fine shadow Chancellor as wellAlastairMeeks said:I'd have thought the most useful deductions are for Leave. Given their appalling ratings with Remain voters, don't knows and swing voters, Nigel Farage and Michael Gove need to be kidnapped until 24 June.
Remain need to get some moderate Labour voices heard. Pushing Alan Johnson forward today looks like a good idea.0 -
AnneJGP said:
Good evening.
Seems to me it's Mr Cameron's dismissive comment about Leavers (some time ago now) coming back to bite him. It was something like "Fruitcakes, loonies & nutters", wasn't it? And, to my amazement, that's how he's now coming over himself.
Is that what's called Karma?0 -
@djknowles22: The 'Yessurection' - I repost, without comment... https://t.co/AnHdwpBVsm0
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I didn't look that closely...MonikerDiCanio said:
Was he eating meat ?ThreeQuidder said:Pointless anecdote alert: at dinner tonight there was a man a couple of tables away who was the spitting image of @NickPalmer. Unless it was Dr Palmer himself.
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That's an interesting finding for Boris Johnson with swing voters.0
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Wittingdale bbc reforms...more utter bs...according to front of daily telegraph. I have no Idea what he is playing at. He is pissing off the Luuvies while not really changing anything nor actually addressing the real issue of future of "tv".0
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Tentative link alert: on the subject of the BBC, it's ten years today that this happened:
http://metro.co.uk/2016/05/09/its-10-years-since-a-man-was-interviewed-on-bbc-by-mistake-5871153/
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PMSLStark_Dawning said:
Agreed. Obama's secondment is starting to look like a Remain master-stroke. Leave, of course, have massive advantages with the euro-phobic British press barons singing their tune, but the Pres's intervention cuts through all that with a cool sense of resonance and objectivity.FeersumEnjineeya said:
Well, maybe not up to that point and, sure, many won't bother, but Obama's relatively good standing among the DKs is perhaps the biggest surprise in the poll and has got to be a good indicator for Remain.Luckyguy1983 said:
Do you think many will dk right up to the point they stand in the booth? I'd imagine most in that position just wouldn't bother.FeersumEnjineeya said:It seems strange that Obama's intervention hasn't helped Remain then, given that he is the least distrusted among DKs and SVs. Perhaps a good omen for the future though, when they stand in the polling booth and reflect on what they've heard.
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Yes, I was struck with just how appalling the three wise men of Gove, IDS and Farage are doing amongst their own side. Cameron is PM and would expect to be hated; IDS and Farage aren't even in government. Leave still have Boris of course. But his problem is as follows: will he repel the give-Cameron-a-kicking Leftists? Leave might seem less attractive to them if all it amounts to is giving Boris the chance to make hay.AlastairMeeks said:I'd have thought the most useful deductions are for Leave. Given their appalling ratings with Remain voters, don't knows and swing voters, Nigel Farage and Michael Gove need to be kidnapped until 24 June.
Remain need to get some moderate Labour voices heard. Pushing Alan Johnson forward today looks like a good idea.0 -
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Perhaps the most significant is the DK and Swing columns, the rest are preaching to the converted.Speedy said:I'm amazed that David Cameron is dead last at -47, he is at -34 with Remainers even if he is leading the Remain campaign.
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Not nice to describe europhiles as extremists.AlastairMeeks said:
I'm not expecting the extremists to understand.runnymede said:
Yes, he'd make a fine shadow Chancellor as wellAlastairMeeks said:I'd have thought the most useful deductions are for Leave. Given their appalling ratings with Remain voters, don't knows and swing voters, Nigel Farage and Michael Gove need to be kidnapped until 24 June.
Remain need to get some moderate Labour voices heard. Pushing Alan Johnson forward today looks like a good idea.
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First nose ring of the night makes it through...0
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@nycsouthpaw: Reuters sent a correspondent to Trump's mother's hometown in the Outer Hebrides https://t.co/hSX7M8YLoM https://t.co/38XA541YMt0
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Desperate spinning from Remainders. Obama's rating is nothing more than the fact he is not a British politician. Familiarity breeds contempt and the UK electorate have a healthy amount of contempt for all their elected representatives.Stark_Dawning said:
Agreed. Obama's secondment is starting to look like a Remain master-stroke. Leave, of course, have massive advantages with the euro-phobic British press barons singing their tune, but the Pres's intervention cuts through all that with a cool sense of resonance and objectivity.FeersumEnjineeya said:
Well, maybe not up to that point and, sure, many won't bother, but Obama's relatively good standing among the DKs is perhaps the biggest surprise in the poll and has got to be a good indicator for Remain.Luckyguy1983 said:
Do you think many will dk right up to the point they stand in the booth? I'd imagine most in that position just wouldn't bother.FeersumEnjineeya said:It seems strange that Obama's intervention hasn't helped Remain then, given that he is the least distrusted among DKs and SVs. Perhaps a good omen for the future though, when they stand in the polling booth and reflect on what they've heard.
Obama's intervention achieved nothing for Remain except to make them look just that little bit more desperate.0 -
I must confess to being extremely surprised by this.Plato_Says said:Golly, Cameron's figures are awful with swing voters.
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Given all the outcry about the mock suicide bomber in the Manchester being a muslim, next time perhaps they will have to pick another type of extremist a brexiter will probably work for the twitter mob....he could shout "give me my sovenority".0
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And Galloway is OUT in the semi !!!0
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Was he eating his own feet?MonikerDiCanio said:
Was he eating meat ?ThreeQuidder said:Pointless anecdote alert: at dinner tonight there was a man a couple of tables away who was the spitting image of @NickPalmer. Unless it was Dr Palmer himself.
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If you are lucky, the plod will be on the blower asking if you want to play a pc version of a suicide bomber in their next training exercise!Casino_Royale said:
I must confess to being extremely surprised by this.Plato_Says said:Golly, Cameron's figures are awful with swing voters.
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BBC News and ITV News lead on Nigerian president's 'shock' at Cameron's overheard comments to the Queen and the Archbishop of Canterbury that the leaders of Afghanistan and Nigeria, are in Cameron's words '2 of the most corrupt nations on earth'.0
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BBC dominance of news on TV, radio, internet. big problem for all other media news groups.FrancisUrquhart said:Wittingdale bbc reforms...more utter bs...according to front of daily telegraph. I have no Idea what he is playing at. He is pissing off the Luuvies while not really changing anything nor actually addressing the real issue of future of "tv".
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Deutschland uber Americas!Plato_Says said:0 -
Trump is a derivation of Trumpf, though British and Irish ancestry combined are more than German ancestrySunil_Prasannan said:
Deutschland uber Americas!Plato_Says said:0 -
TSE: "Do you want a drink?"MonikerDiCanio said:
Was he eating meat ?ThreeQuidder said:Pointless anecdote alert: at dinner tonight there was a man a couple of tables away who was the spitting image of @NickPalmer. Unless it was Dr Palmer himself.
Sunil: "Got any Quorn?"
TSE: "If you want!" (He also takes a bottle of meat from the fridge).
Sunil: "Meat...? Ugh!"
TSE: "It's what Ian Rush drinks."
Sunil: "Ian Rush?"
TSE: "Yeah, an' he says if I don't drink lots of meat, when I grow up I'm only gonna be good enough to play for Accrington Stanley!"
Sunil: "Accrington Stanley? Who are they?"
TSE: "Exactly!"
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The map is by area, so reflects rural populations in the thinly populated states. Also hard to know which country most african americans are descended from!HYUFD said:
Trump is a derivation of Trumpf, though British and Irish ancestry combined are more than German ancestrySunil_Prasannan said:
Deutschland uber Americas!Plato_Says said:0 -
Having waded through about 2000 comments in the Times over the last two days, it's hard to find any nice ones about Cameron. Lots of contempt over War!!! And war graves, not appearing to be on our side, dishonest and more of the same.Casino_Royale said:
I must confess to being extremely surprised by this.Plato_Says said:Golly, Cameron's figures are awful with swing voters.
It's hard to believe that in February he was supposedly driving for a tough bargain and he'd walk away.0 -
I wonder if the Mormons are the only Anglo-Saxon population in the world that's growing.Plato_Says said:0 -
Michael Gove has truly dreadful figures, he is political poison. Much has been suggested that he would be made Chancellor should Leave win. I think John McDonnell would welcome such a situation should it come to pass!
It looks to me as if Boris has suffered from the reinstatement of political gravity as well. From the outside Leave appear to me to be all the unpopular politicians plus a clown as front man!0 -
I've sent you a VM.Casino_Royale said:That's an interesting finding for Boris Johnson with swing voters.
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I am not surprised that Dave is so unpopular with confirmed Leavers, though am so with BoJo being the polar opposite for Remainers.0
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West Ham0
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Indeed, but whites still have a plurality, a substantial number of Hispanics come from Mexico, african american ancestry more diversefoxinsoxuk said:
The map is by area, so reflects rural populations in the thinly populated states. Also hard to know which country most african americans are descended from!HYUFD said:
Trump is a derivation of Trumpf, though British and Irish ancestry combined are more than German ancestrySunil_Prasannan said:
Deutschland uber Americas!Plato_Says said:0 -
Very hard. Because it wasn't so.Plato_Says said:
Having waded through about 2000 comments in the Times over the last two days, it's hard to find any nice ones about Cameron. Lots of contempt over War!!! And war graves, not appearing to be on our side, dishonest and more of the same.Casino_Royale said:
I must confess to being extremely surprised by this.Plato_Says said:Golly, Cameron's figures are awful with swing voters.
It's hard to believe that in February he was supposedly driving for a tough bargain and he'd walk away.0 -
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What a game.Sunil_Prasannan said:West Ham
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Clearly Leave need to unleash their secret weapon - Priti Patel.
And on that predictable note, goodnight!0 -
Dave's ratings in the sewer lol.0
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Which is why the renegotiation was rubbish. The other 27 never believed he'd walk way hence the dog's dinner of minor tweaks we got presented with. Now I still expect a Remain win but there's a clear whiff that things have not gone to plan for No 10 hence Obama, the Japanese PM, assorted ex US State Dept inhabitants, and the Four Horsemen of The Apocalypse ( yesterday's was war) being invoked to scare us all into line as I think they thought this would be in the bag by now and it's still not - quite.Plato_Says said:
Having waded through about 2000 comments in the Times over the last two days, it's hard to find any nice ones about Cameron. Lots of contempt over War!!! And war graves, not appearing to be on our side, dishonest and more of the same.Casino_Royale said:
I must confess to being extremely surprised by this.Plato_Says said:Golly, Cameron's figures are awful with swing voters.
It's hard to believe that in February he was supposedly driving for a tough bargain and he'd walk away.0 -
Cameron's a sleeper for Leave. It's the only explanation.0
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Not many are interested but the Democratic primary race hasn't yet finished de jure.
Tonight, in about 2 hours, polls close in W.Virginia, where the early Exit Poll leaks suggest to me that Sanders has beaten Hillary with close to a 2-1 margin.
The only interesting issue is that 39% of Sanders voters in W.Virginia say that they will vote Trump in the GE over Hillary in the Exit Poll.0 -
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Her nickname will have to be updated to 'Crippled Hillary' by the time she crawls across the finish lineSpeedy said:Tonight, in about 2 hours, polls close in W.Virginia, where the early Exit Poll leaks suggest to me that Sanders has beaten Hillary with close to a 2-1 margin.
The only interesting issue is that 39% of Sanders voters in W.Virginia say that they will vote Trump in the GE over Hillary in the Exit Poll.0 -
Cameron can't be trusted. A characteristically vulgar PR stunt from him. Her Majesty has to be on her guard when she's obliged to receive the creep.Plato_Says said:0 -
If it's true, I'm seriously unimpressed. The Queen should never be used like this - ever.MonikerDiCanio said:
Cameron can't be trusted. A characteristically vulgar PR stunt from him. Her Majesty has to be on her guard when she's obliged to receive the creep.Plato_Says said:
That spin doctor on Sky thinks it's so very clever, I doubt many would agree.0 -
In WV hardly surprising, Trump will win it by a landslideSpeedy said:Not many are interested but the Democratic primary race hasn't yet finished de jure.
Tonight, in about 2 hours, polls close in W.Virginia, where the early Exit Poll leaks suggest to me that Sanders has beaten Hillary with close to a 2-1 margin.
The only interesting issue is that 39% of Sanders voters in W.Virginia say that they will vote Trump in the GE over Hillary in the Exit Poll.0 -
Only if she manages to lose all remaining contests and by a 70-30 margin will she lose the nomination.williamglenn said:
Her nickname will have to be updated to 'Crippled Hillary' by the time she crawls across the finish lineSpeedy said:Tonight, in about 2 hours, polls close in W.Virginia, where the early Exit Poll leaks suggest to me that Sanders has beaten Hillary with close to a 2-1 margin.
The only interesting issue is that 39% of Sanders voters in W.Virginia say that they will vote Trump in the GE over Hillary in the Exit Poll.
Right now she is still on course to win California (though that maybe tightening) and N.J., but her unpopularity is showing.
There is no question that if Sanders was 10-20 years younger and from a bigger state than Vermont that Hillary would have lost the nomination.0 -
Ho, ho! If Cameron engineered that then Leave should be terrified - the man's clearly omnipotent.Plato_Says said:0 -
Double Deutsche!Sunil_Prasannan said:
Deutschland uber Americas!Plato_Says said:0 -
Ned Donovan
There's another BBC video from today at the Queen's garden party of a private conversation the Queen is having. Bad form to release it.
@journodave The topic of it, luckily untouched by the press today, puts her in a complicated position in terms of neutrality.0 -
Shameless, tasteless and a liar. He's starting to go mad like old El Tone did...Plato_Says said:
If it's true, I'm seriously unimpressed. The Queen should never be used like this - ever.MonikerDiCanio said:
Cameron can't be trusted. A characteristically vulgar PR stunt from him. Her Majesty has to be on her guard when she's obliged to receive the creep.Plato_Says said:
That spin doctor on Sky thinks it's so very clever, I doubt many would agree.0 -
There's some even more interesting polling numbers from WV that show a third of Democrat voters will vote Trump no matter who the Democrat nominee is.HYUFD said:In WV hardly surprising, Trump will win it by a landslide
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-democratic-primary-exit-poll-results/story?id=389927450 -
ugh what a grotty conman he isPlato_Says said:
If it's true, I'm seriously unimpressed. The Queen should never be used like this - ever.MonikerDiCanio said:
Cameron can't be trusted. A characteristically vulgar PR stunt from him. Her Majesty has to be on her guard when she's obliged to receive the creep.Plato_Says said:
That spin doctor on Sky thinks it's so very clever, I doubt many would agree.0