Indeed if Turnout is circa the 160m that he predicts, on the day voting will represent 37.5% of the total vote if it were only at 2016 levels it would represent less than 26% of total vote (View Post)

You are right about NC but he does say about Florida "At first blush, the numbers are bullish for Trump. Republicans are doing slightly better in the partisan distribution of the 2020 early vote… (View Post)

Truthfully I dont know but If that were the case it would be a massive omission from the Blog. Given that he is referring to the 32 milllion outstanding he would surely have listed that as a reason (… (View Post)

Once again for a Political Betting Site The insight in the attached is absolute Gold I urge Bettors with serious money at stake to read it in full rather than my brief extracts (that cant tell the fu… (View Post)

Yes the Blog talks about some of the factors why you cant take them at face value not all of which you have noted. (View Post)