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The Tories edge up a touch in theTiverton and Honiton betting – politicalbetting.com

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  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 3,056

    At this moment, which of the following individuals do you think would be the better PM for the UK? (12 June)

    Keir Starmer: 38% (+1)
    Boris Johnson: 33% (+2)
    Don't know: 29% (-3)

    Changes +/- 5 June

    Whomp whomp

    Staggering leads there for Starmer. Bookies might as well pay out now.
    Shame it's all coming to an end in July.

    The King is dead, long live Wes Streeting!
    Streeting is rubbish.
    And they say Boris doesn’t like Dilyn:

    https://mobile.twitter.com/PhillipsBarrie/status/1509091168721817602/photo/1
  • YokesYokes Posts: 1,178
    Ukraine

    Russia is on the verge of a solid war-level win with a number of Eastern battlefronts fronts turning in their favour which could mean effectice control of the Donbas in as little as 2 weeks. The Ukrainians havent yet got the resources to push back significantly which means Russia could dig in, claim the success then go for peace talks. At that point Ukraine, if it doesn't know already, will find out how flaky the West is.

    The question is whether Russia would drive on if its forces break out or just bank the Donbas gains. As a betting man, I suspect they will drive on even if only to give up some territory as a means to keep the rest. This is where the West will have to calculate the risk and consdier whether they need to escalate the type of weaponry or else Ukraine is much closer to exisential threat

    Thew West simply hasnt supplied the right kit fast enough or in quantity during this latest phase. In truth some of the sheer quantities the Ukrainians are asking for just dont exist but the West has been short still with what it could do. Why the grey market and unofficial trade between states isn't used for increased supply is as yet an unanswered question because it hasnt to a larger degree.

    And again, history is going to judge Germany & France. Lot of talk, not a lot of delivery of hardware. Much if what has been pledged or talked of being pledged hasnt appeared. Germany has a lot to respect and admire it for, but their governments have consistently been a bunch of complete fucking weasels in this kind of situation.

    On another note, if you are a recent retail or institutonal crypto investor, good luck. Bit of a large rolling snowball coming down the hill cartoon style. Whilst you could suggest its not a fundamental type thing like a major bank going down, the amount of money thrown at it that could just disappear is going to hurt.

  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 7,171

    Taz said:

    It now looks like only seven asylum seekers will be on the flight tomorrow following further challenges by the Union representing border force personnel. The policy of deportations to Rwanda is becoming totally unworkable.

    Time for the govt to recognise the opposition to it and think again.

    https://twitter.com/dannyshawnews/status/1536412291498971139?s=21&t=8w7CW9Dhnu8kOOiaK7nEFA

    What is the union’s standing to bring a claim? Genuine question. Shouldn’t the employees be doing what they are instructed to do by act of parliament?
    I thought the Rwanda policy did not involve any legislation. It’s all executive action.
    Isn't the action being taken under the Nationality and Borders Act 2022 which is an Act of Parliament?
    My mistake.
  • theakestheakes Posts: 839
    Tiverton.
    1. The landscape is heavily Orange, posters and boards. The Lib dems have conducted the heaviest canvass and report good body language in response, (that is usually more important than what people say).
    2. Based on the General Election vote fogures I estimate the Lib Dems would need a 16% swing to take the seat. Labour vote to fall from 18% - 4%, it could fall more.Green % also down a bit. Lib Dem volte to hold, that would give them 28%. Cons vote 60% only needs 16- 17% swing Con to Lib Dem, without counting the Cons abstainers and switches to Reform..
    The sensible odds must be on the Lib Dems but still what do I know!.
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